South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa75dd57d7f74e477d848888f2432813a5cdf31016c4f0ea82097246279e0d8d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed No | 1c | 2,213$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 1,030$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.04 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 1,008$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.13 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 57c | 894.08$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +75%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 752.77$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.64 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 28c | 593.85$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.85 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 550.53$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.55 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…67bfbacked Yes | 38c | 533.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 65c | 494$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.95 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 42c | 236.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.83 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 6c | 230.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…e0bfbacked No | 50c | 198.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 38c | 189.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 50c | 161.31$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 60c | 119.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 50c | 86.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Yes | 36c | 44.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 38c | 36.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 43c | 35.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed No | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70d5…119ebacked Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed No | 73c | 20.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Under won
- CF Cruz Azul vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.