Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $150 December 1-7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0738f6486f91e7ef62125d6a4029d8e4736deef2631db7744cec73f0d3be7592
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 7,302$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 20c | 3,763$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.27 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0921…263ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,067$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 9c | 1,027$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…305bbacked No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 70c | 797.52$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 16c | 738.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 72c | 638.98$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.41 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30f…e731backed Yes | 18c | 545.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…b26dbacked No | 51c | 389.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 27c | 380.11$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a4…a548backed Yes | 23c | 334.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 59c | 227$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked Yes | 23c | 221.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 46c | 218.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc749…e803backed Yes | 12c | 212.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…409cbacked No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 69c | 165$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 61c | 161.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b3…4575backed No | 76c | 151.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 24c | 123.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 33c | 121.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…1776backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd55…fc45backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…9e02backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb7…6981backed Yes | 22c | 81.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…c986backed Yes | 24c | 78.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…0592backed Yes | 20c | 71.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe69d…bb93backed Yes | 20c | 69.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…ad6bbacked Yes | 44c | 68.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x796e…a06bbacked Yes | 55c | 53.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed No | 37c | 52.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd707…d83dbacked Yes | 58c | 39.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…194ebacked Yes | 50c | 39.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1ea2backed Yes | 53c | 28.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc216…ff92backed No | 80c | 25.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $150 December 1-7?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 December 1-7?No won
- Will Solana dip to $110 December 1-7?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 December 1-7?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 December 1-7?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $160 December 1-7?No won
- Will Solana reach $170 December 1-7?No won
- Will Solana reach $180 December 1-7?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 December 1-7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.