Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd167df1a2c61fb4b3b6ff2857d040812b584fd1915ff8522eeb37f0d5f13585f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x055b…a9a4backed Yes | 4c | 2,701$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4c…83efbacked Yes | 4c | 2,685$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…7560backed Yes | 12c | 2,495$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…03b8backed Yes | 10c | 2,013$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7155…4dd0backed Yes | 10c | 1,911$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa367…6c02backed Yes | 10c | 1,867$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 10c | 1,819$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.33 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3a…28c2backed Yes | 2c | 1,815$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b8…51f2backed Yes | 2c | 1,813$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…d973backed Yes | 5c | 1,789$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…3257backed Yes | 3c | 1,768$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d98…642abacked Yes | 5c | 1,738$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…7d5dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,725$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…bcf5backed Yes | 10c | 1,724$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88dd…13f0backed Yes | 3c | 1,723$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…9952backed Yes | 10c | 1,714$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,669$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe054…c925backed Yes | 11c | 1,613$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…32fabacked Yes | 11c | 1,594$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…f627backed Yes | 10c | 1,551$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea08…2ad0backed Yes | 4c | 1,509$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa0…fc96backed Yes | 10c | 1,459$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…21f9backed Yes | 11c | 1,428$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1701…6f0bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,427$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…8d79backed Yes | 3c | 1,395$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…e635backed Yes | 4c | 1,362$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dd…7446backed Yes | 4c | 1,358$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…203abacked Yes | 14c | 1,353$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.25 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…83eabacked Yes | 10c | 1,272$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a7…46d0backed Yes | 18c | 1,258$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…8730backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc8…b8f0backed Yes | 10c | 1,175$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf75…949abacked Yes | 4c | 1,167$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…7833backed Yes | 3c | 1,162$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…1248backed Yes | 3c | 1,125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1473…9cebbacked Yes | 4c | 1,122$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…c0fbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,119$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4e…cf40backed Yes | 11c | 1,102$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…db0dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,072$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…a00bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,072$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f99…e0d5backed Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…db08backed Yes | 4c | 1,040$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 10c | 1,036$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.2 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…6940backed Yes | 11c | 1,032$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…33ecbacked Yes | 10c | 1,016$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,004$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…5bc5backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…12e0backed Yes | 4c | 978$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0668…a581backed Yes | 4c | 952$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7341…3fc2backed Yes | 3c | 926$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 10c | 910.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…aef5backed Yes | 13c | 904.9$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…2748backed Yes | 11c | 904$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbb…6984backed Yes | 14c | 900.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 9c | 883.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…762dbacked Yes | 3c | 879$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d3…f5f0backed Yes | 11c | 874$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7679…0620backed Yes | 12c | 872.53$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd126…38d1backed Yes | 3c | 837$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…4a62backed Yes | 14c | 826.77$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.49 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac2a…54eabacked Yes | 3c | 811$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…ddd0backed Yes | 15c | 809$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e3…6d9dbacked Yes | 3c | 794$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…effdbacked Yes | 3c | 792$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…8befbacked Yes | 11c | 790.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f2…ec38backed Yes | 11c | 780$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…725cbacked Yes | 4c | 741$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2a…54a4backed Yes | 3c | 735$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…42d1backed Yes | 4c | 704$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 10c | 695.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedd6…c6babacked Yes | 14c | 691.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa651…1fd0backed Yes | 22c | 683.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…a750backed Yes | 3c | 677$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cb…c857backed Yes | 3c | 673$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…3978backed Yes | 4c | 663$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8e…a0efbacked Yes | 5c | 661.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 6c | 657.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a1…861bbacked Yes | 3c | 607$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 12c | 601$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…b382backed Yes | 3c | 596$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c7…5b3bbacked Yes | 13c | 589.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da5…9c11backed Yes | 12c | 579.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c7e1backed Yes | 9c | 574.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 3c | 567.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…438fbacked Yes | 3c | 558$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…3f1fbacked Yes | 35c | 554.7$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…105abacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…c2ecbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…ed16backed Yes | 3c | 491$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 17c | 482.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc373…42d0backed Yes | 3c | 449$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…ee87backed Yes | 3c | 447$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…4056backed Yes | 10c | 430.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…5e61backed Yes | 3c | 421$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…2bb4backed Yes | 24c | 417.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…89bcbacked Yes | 3c | 398$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb965…c957backed Yes | 16c | 383.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 378.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…0439backed Yes | 15c | 369.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 13c | 363.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$75 in March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $80-$85 in March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$60 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.