Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe97270e364091c6e6553bc302cfd6768203855eafa731ab68c7acdaac7c02ed3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 0c | 9,921$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…eccabacked Yes | 10c | 6,572$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.61 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 8c | 4,459$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.53 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…f876backed Yes | 7c | 4,197$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee68…ef88backed Yes | 4c | 3,977$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153e…5bd5backed Yes | 3c | 3,123$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 3c | 3,073$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…0116backed Yes | 4c | 2,909$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…320dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,343$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ac0abacked Yes | 3c | 2,312$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…3388backed Yes | 3c | 2,301$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…1da0backed Yes | 4c | 2,153$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe676…bf4ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,055$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…6940backed Yes | 4c | 1,951$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34d…e864backed Yes | 4c | 1,946$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 5c | 1,943$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 4c | 1,925$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a66…d29abacked Yes | 4c | 1,869$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…fda9backed Yes | 4c | 1,792$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8285…d016backed Yes | 1c | 1,698$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…23e4backed Yes | 4c | 1,652$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…9a87backed Yes | 4c | 1,573$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…4990backed Yes | 4c | 1,566$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…d0f9backed Yes | 5c | 1,530$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…3a38backed Yes | 4c | 1,417$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…7b0bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,394$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762f…b2c0backed Yes | 4c | 1,372$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…294cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,321$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 7c | 1,276$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a7…46d0backed Yes | 9c | 1,258$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…fcbbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,202$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…e8fbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,199$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 1,190$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…9f15backed Yes | 4c | 1,171$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x536c…8f1fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,168$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 4c | 1,168$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37e…8894backed Yes | 3c | 1,165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…7a9cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,095$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf283…74acbacked Yes | 4c | 1,076$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,035$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…8bc9backed Yes | 5c | 987$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…12f4backed Yes | 3c | 957$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…8189backed Yes | 5c | 941.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…79e3backed Yes | 4c | 934$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…b730backed Yes | 4c | 934$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…a1ccbacked Yes | 3c | 934$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 5c | 921.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…48e1backed Yes | 3c | 903.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…e62cbacked Yes | 4c | 898$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…5299backed Yes | 3c | 896$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d10…0ffcbacked Yes | 3c | 894$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…cf84backed Yes | 4c | 894$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa95b…2047backed Yes | 3c | 871$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…3e66backed Yes | 5c | 834$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873b…6552backed Yes | 4c | 805$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961d…7db3backed Yes | 3c | 805$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…203abacked Yes | 9c | 799.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…b778backed Yes | 4c | 762$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac9…70d2backed Yes | 4c | 735$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…8d41backed Yes | 4c | 728$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 716.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…d5b8backed Yes | 4c | 713$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…0b65backed Yes | 4c | 699$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 687.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 684.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa5…7e43backed Yes | 3c | 682$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 5c | 674.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…b52fbacked Yes | 3c | 665.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…9e10backed Yes | 4c | 655$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…7c8dbacked Yes | 5c | 653$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…0439backed Yes | 10c | 651.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc982…009bbacked Yes | 4c | 631$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac08…45debacked Yes | 8c | 614.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc25f…124abacked Yes | 4c | 613$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…fe85backed Yes | 4c | 609$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 5c | 604.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5a…beeebacked Yes | 4c | 604$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…796fbacked Yes | 3c | 603.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…105abacked Yes | 8c | 593.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 4c | 591$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516f…a0e9backed Yes | 3c | 586$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 583.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…f7e1backed Yes | 4c | 562$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c8…30afbacked Yes | 4c | 557$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 7c | 546.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…5054backed Yes | 4c | 537$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…0777backed Yes | 11c | 531.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571b…3418backed Yes | 8c | 528.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 4c | 477.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…6907backed Yes | 3c | 470$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed64…3260backed Yes | 7c | 470$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…f465backed Yes | 3c | 438$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc06…c543backed Yes | 4c | 434$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…f670backed Yes | 4c | 429$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…e28dbacked Yes | 4c | 426$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…8addbacked Yes | 4c | 408$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da5…9c11backed Yes | 12c | 405.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…3f07backed Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b3…0b0fbacked Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$75 in March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $80-$85 in March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$60 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.