Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $80-$85 in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9bd91e90b2d47360cc080d346dd285758aa179f9d5019079bdc9d432ee8ab0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac08…45debacked Yes | 8c | 5,543$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,767$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…0ce5backed Yes | 11c | 3,186$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…f1c6backed Yes | 10c | 2,837$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecc…b720backed Yes | 7c | 2,810$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 6c | 2,475$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.91 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…9978backed Yes | 10c | 2,375$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb0…25c4backed Yes | 3c | 2,296$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbd…c9f2backed Yes | 11c | 2,223$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 5c | 2,221$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a99…1a79backed Yes | 3c | 2,201$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…05f8backed Yes | 3c | 2,164$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…867fbacked Yes | 19c | 2,130$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…53f6backed Yes | 12c | 2,044$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc25f…124abacked Yes | 9c | 1,957$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…3217backed Yes | 9c | 1,953$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…e34abacked Yes | 3c | 1,795$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8871…99b8backed Yes | 10c | 1,784$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 7c | 1,781$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.62 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a7…7dc5backed Yes | 3c | 1,769$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…936bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,661$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9821…cdd3backed Yes | 7c | 1,527$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…f876backed Yes | 9c | 1,500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…6d61backed Yes | 7c | 1,448$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…47dbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,428$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…fffcbacked Yes | 7c | 1,347$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57a…9c38backed Yes | 3c | 1,340$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…d248backed Yes | 3c | 1,287$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 5c | 1,265$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a7…46d0backed Yes | 11c | 1,258$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7230…552ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,232$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 1,230$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…33ecbacked Yes | 9c | 1,229$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…eccabacked Yes | 2c | 1,192$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…3388backed Yes | 7c | 1,155$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c9…52a7backed Yes | 3c | 1,074$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc982…009bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,068$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…5a9fbacked Yes | 2c | 941.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ae…9224backed Yes | 7c | 940$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…7c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 908$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef1…fb71backed Yes | 7c | 884$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182c…c558backed Yes | 7c | 863$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…203abacked Yes | 12c | 849.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…0402backed Yes | 7c | 840$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d0…4990backed Yes | 7c | 831$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 76c | 755.44$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.51 | 212 | 28.8%61 W · 151 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…8d11backed Yes | 7c | 747$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd6…c6babacked Yes | 13c | 743.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d65…c5e4backed Yes | 7c | 742$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5394…3b7fbacked Yes | 7c | 706$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…3b82backed Yes | 7c | 645$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…9219backed Yes | 3c | 616$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 8c | 602.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da5…9c11backed Yes | 10c | 586.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 6c | 586$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…120dbacked Yes | 3c | 577$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 4c | 575.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56aa…b9c9backed Yes | 7c | 568$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 2c | 568$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8d…105abacked Yes | 9c | 558.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6997…da91backed Yes | 3c | 556$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…3f07backed Yes | 7c | 522.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes | 8c | 512.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…c2ecbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf283…74acbacked Yes | 7c | 457$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9b…0a84backed Yes | 25c | 428$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 6c | 425.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…f622backed Yes | 10c | 399$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5a…500bbacked Yes | 10c | 382$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b4…c3f4backed Yes | 6c | 363.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…aa8abacked Yes | 3c | 359.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…d0d9backed Yes | 11c | 357.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…48e1backed Yes | 5c | 350$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 349.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…b647backed Yes | 10c | 340.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed Yes | 15c | 339.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c56…0786backed Yes | 17c | 296.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 4c | 291.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 9c | 290.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…56d9backed Yes | 10c | 290$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…c1e1backed Yes | 13c | 287.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 9c | 282$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 6c | 272.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…4a62backed Yes | 6c | 258.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe46…cb39backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2f…30c7backed Yes | 10c | 240.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbb…6984backed Yes | 13c | 239.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…188abacked Yes | 10c | 238$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff0…6f82backed Yes | 10c | 231$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…f9c0backed Yes | 23c | 221.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…a94ebacked Yes | 12c | 210.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc656…b737backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ed…bb68backed Yes | 8c | 188.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c7…5b3bbacked Yes | 11c | 176.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…0439backed Yes | 12c | 170.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571b…3418backed Yes | 18c | 169.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 7c | 163.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | +34.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…82dbbacked Yes | 9c | 161$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $80-$85 in March?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $60-$65 in March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $65-$70 in March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$75 in March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $85-$90 in March?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$60 in March?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.