NFL · resolved market
Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0ebfd35a5f35da9b652178ecb7747cc6f3de550edaff3b660469bc8d6791910
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $952,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $996,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $952,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7acd…3cc9backed Yes | 8c | 107,493$8,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,567.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…2283backed Yes | 0c | 98,260$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…0b95backed Yes | 1c | 90,054$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284c…7b30backed Yes | 0c | 70,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Yes | 3c | 58,487$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.43 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…84d7backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 0c | 18,037$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 16,306$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.23 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…1a68backed Yes | 0c | 13,463$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 7c | 10,387$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.11 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…b59ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…388dbacked Yes | 11c | 8,186$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 7c | 6,069$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.66 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,008$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.2 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b86…0311backed Yes | 9c | 4,420$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed Yes | 5c | 3,126$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.48 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…6ef6backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Yes | 7c | 2,934$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.7 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,414$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.14 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 5c | 2,242$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Yes | 15c | 1,936$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…ddd0backed Yes | 13c | 1,741$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.38 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ca…5830backed Yes | 8c | 1,183$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3391…ed51backed Yes | 13c | 1,161$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 9c | 1,143$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…b181backed Yes | 1c | 1,121$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,047$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…93c7backed Yes | 10c | 1,032$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 8c | 931$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 12c | 810$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…a2b2backed Yes | 3c | 601.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 6c | 600$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…2a64backed Yes | 10c | 580$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -84%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 9c | 562.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 2c | 541.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…4958backed Yes | 10c | 525.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3a…49cfbacked Yes | 10c | 521.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…6e65backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Yes | 11c | 468.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…4dd0backed Yes | 55c | 456.02$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…709dbacked Yes | 6c | 423.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 6c | 347.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3021…a229backed Yes | 6c | 321.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6766…0d0dbacked Yes | 10c | 312.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed Yes | 37c | 276$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 10c | 260.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 14c | 251.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 75c | 251.23$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.81 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed Yes | 6c | 249$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…1731backed Yes | 10c | 241.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 8c | 234.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 21c | 231.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…8de9backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 29c | 215.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 25c | 204.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 6c | 202.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…b4a7backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 9c | 162$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…94cabacked Yes | 20c | 147.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 9c | 144$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32fe…091ebacked Yes | 9c | 141.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3378…ae62backed Yes | 10c | 130.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…e844backed Yes | 8c | 128.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254f…7b31backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa749…056bbacked Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed No | 57c | 116.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5d…5598backed Yes | 26c | 115.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…c4c6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…6a8abacked Yes | 11c | 90.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 29c | 71.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…0a51backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…147dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?this page
- Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Kraken run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Ripple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Solana run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will xAi/X run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.