NFL · resolved market
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45fb101c0d35d4184d766c9e72b26830dcd8fdc4eeac0d12535f8899157a901e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed No | 51c | 5,705$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.01 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 61c | 4,647$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.31 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 50c | 3,451$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.43 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 43c | 3,216$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.28 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed No | 35c | 3,186$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…73e5backed No | 53c | 2,936$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…40afbacked Yes | 67c | 2,081$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 11c | 2,080$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.7 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 55c | 1,600$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.03 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…b50dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,472$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…7112backed No | 33c | 1,439$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed No | 52c | 1,392$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980a…aed5backed Yes | 60c | 1,339$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.31 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…6ef6backed Yes | 64c | 1,100$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 58c | 917.99$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.29 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 55c | 839.99$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.57 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 38c | 801.9$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.75 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e5…6954backed No | 73c | 755.6$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 50c | 718$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.06 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 62c | 667.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 62c | 654.01$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.89 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 68c | 622.25$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 37c | 613.78$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.37 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…78cbbacked Yes | 57c | 475$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 52c | 459.75$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.62 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Yes | 10c | 415$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 39c | 408$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 67c | 400$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 29c | 369.41$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.64 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +9.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…2984backed No | 66c | 345$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…4f3abacked No | 34c | 318.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 63c | 310$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 18 | 94.4%17 W · 1 L | +6.2wins | +0.35per pick | 60cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 47c | 308.6$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.63 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 71c | 282.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 56c | 280$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3a…49cfbacked Yes | 37c | 272.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed Yes | 69c | 269.1$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…ac49backed Yes | 38c | 264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…6960backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 38c | 236.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…d2cdbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…9cbdbacked No | 51c | 230.1$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 47c | 229.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a0…6feebacked Yes | 44c | 227.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 55c | 214.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…620fbacked Yes | 43c | 205.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 48c | 199.7$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…7f0abacked No | 40c | 194.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…e597backed Yes | 36c | 193.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 40c | 187.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…709dbacked Yes | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes | 66c | 184.9$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…103abacked Yes | 35c | 175.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…38b1backed Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 53c | 148.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 62c | 143$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 47c | 141.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 57c | 136.6$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba95…908fbacked Yes | 37c | 126.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed No | 62c | 115$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 42c | 107$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…d5d4backed No | 76c | 106.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 38c | 104$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 57c | 101.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…67dbbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd4…8853backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…b284backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…c02cbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…c844backed Yes | 42c | 95.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 51c | 84.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22d…ce8abacked Yes | 47c | 83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…0c0cbacked Yes | 39c | 80.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 54c | 80.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…f880backed No | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 37c | 78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 47c | 75.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 77c | 66.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3b…dc63backed Yes | 31c | 65.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…e076backed Yes | 34c | 59.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 21c | 59.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +251.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 69c | 59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 37c | 58.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…143bbacked Yes | 43c | 57.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…2022backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x980f…5b55backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d46…bfb6backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…8979backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc8…16f6backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…08f4backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe1…7d0dbacked No | 54c | 46.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea4…eeeabacked Yes | 44c | 45.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…31a1backed No | 43c | 43.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2182…e3d7backed Yes | 63c | 43.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?this page
- Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Kraken run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Ripple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Solana run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will xAi/X run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.