NFL · resolved market

Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dfa4a86e9b87a5dd7899aa0b24ec784b93a8c011ac95cef71b50c41254ad80e

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 10, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $89,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $100,532

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,536 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x15a5…0c45backed No	72c	11,275$8,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,100.77	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5724…73e5backed No	65c	10,040$6,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,538.82	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes	35c	8,104$2,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,834.9	55	30.9%17 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaa9…b9bbbacked No	66c	8,000$5,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,719.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked Yes	34c	4,746$1,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,627.76	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-90.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49d5…2e07backed No	43c	4,671$2,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,643.51	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	49cpaid	+41%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes	52c	3,500$1,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,825	89	51.7%46 W · 43 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes	5c	3,003$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.44	150	8%12 W · 138 L	-9.7wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-74%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb53…709dbacked Yes	40c	2,494$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.16per pick	25cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8756…b36cbacked No	59c	2,409$1,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$976.72	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+150.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	34c	2,301$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$783.86	488	47.5%232 W · 256 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes	34c	2,285$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$785.65	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	60c	2,145$1,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$857.3	52	76.9%40 W · 12 L	+8.7wins	+0.17per pick	60cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xeed4…c1c2backed Yes	35c	2,086$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.45	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	26cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef5c…ae33backed Yes	23c	2,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e3…5ac2backed No	66c	1,872$1,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.25	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5602…388dbacked Yes	31c	1,864$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.51	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	28c	1,601$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.82	281	51.6%145 W · 136 L	+20.1wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No	45c	1,600$715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+67.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes	34c	1,360$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.58	323	47.4%153 W · 170 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…9d86backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6994…7112backed No	42c	989.72$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572.29	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b59…377dbacked Yes	45c	950$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31d6…78cbbacked Yes	34c	900.79$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.21	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6e…6ef6backed Yes	48c	800$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3975…626abacked No	68c	760.37$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.69	91	81.3%74 W · 17 L	+15.9wins	+0.17per pick	64cpaid	+26%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x569e…67dbbacked Yes	42c	450$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Yes	44c	450$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No	68c	442.5$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.05	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-39%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd654…b50dbacked Yes	35c	428.57$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes	35c	423$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.28	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	38c	417.28$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.19	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x018d…7f0abacked No	56c	379.9$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.16	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.9wins	+0.41per pick	45cpaid	+83.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21d0…aa35backed Yes	36c	311.16$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8da3…8a67backed No	54c	300$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.31	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	55cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed No	59c	299.99$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-5.6wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc412…592dbacked No	61c	299.99$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.5	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+9.4wins	+0.18per pick	40cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4124…8948backed Yes	34c	294.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes	36c	278.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	85	40%34 W · 51 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…a2b2backed Yes	25c	271$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.73	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe590…e597backed Yes	26c	270.06$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.6	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x980a…aed5backed Yes	40c	266.13$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-3.5wins	-0.29per pick	46cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x845d…620fbacked Yes	35c	251.22$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	32cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes	49c	247.98$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.17	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes	41c	244.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-6.3wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x78fa…103abacked Yes	42c	239.6$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	-4.5wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa23a…aa7ebacked Yes	34c	235.29$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf7b…04d8backed Yes	34c	220.59$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.23per pick	30cpaid	-86%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No	64c	190.09$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.88	528	28.6%151 W · 377 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed No	44c	185.95$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.73	43	72.1%31 W · 12 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	61cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3831…c9bfbacked No	58c	169.99$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.2	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98b9…c9c8backed Yes	32c	160$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Yes	53c	152.08$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	35c	150.23$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.39	314	39.8%125 W · 189 L	-16.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed Yes	30c	150$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6678…d4b6backed Yes	34c	147.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	181	44.8%81 W · 100 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0516…dbc2backed No	70c	143.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.86	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	73c	138.36$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.36	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fff…be78backed No	74c	137$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	63c	135.45$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.79	268	30.6%82 W · 186 L	-29.2wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked Yes	36c	132.42$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.09	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe065…d25fbacked Yes	42c	120$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.02	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	38c	114$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.32	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+404.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2a…a74abacked Yes	38c	105.26$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d10…5b22backed Yes	35c	100.57$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf577…972ebacked Yes	33c	100.29$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed No	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	68	32.4%22 W · 46 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…34e1backed Yes	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	32cpaid	-79%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc654…f0debacked Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x948e…92b5backed Yes	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…d3a8backed Yes	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…fb45backed Yes	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…48f2backed Yes	51c	98.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c8c…13c9backed Yes	37c	93.82$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x394e…c26abacked Yes	33c	91.26$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc8…48dfbacked Yes	39c	90.35$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20e…5998backed No	62c	90$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd1…d559backed Yes	35c	89.14$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-32%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b53…8d59backed Yes	25c	88.85$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6545…c57fbacked Yes	51c	88.82$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3fe…978fbacked No	45c	86.37$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.27	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Yes	34c	84.24$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.64	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5305…8de9backed Yes	36c	82.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed No	57c	80$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.4	187	44.9%84 W · 103 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc5…0c52backed Yes	37c	76.57$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No	65c	76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x111f…af00backed Yes	40c	75.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Yes	30c	75.33$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.92	207	36.2%75 W · 132 L	-13.3wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdab1…d307backed Yes	40c	75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e1…91ccbacked No	68c	74.12$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.72	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f89…5617backed No	68c	73.68$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.68	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8079…effabacked Yes	34c	73.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f6b…fba5backed No	72c	70$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe7…9563backed Yes	32c	68.14$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes	30c	66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed No	61c	65$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.42	89	58.4%52 W · 37 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe877…147dbacked Yes	39c	64.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc866…9299backed Yes	40c	62.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcce7…dbedbacked Yes	34c	59.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes	28c	55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?this page
Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will Kraken run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will Ripple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
Will Solana run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Will xAi/X run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event