NFL · resolved market
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc937c1f81d94cc7baa789eb8f4ebb7e8b19d3b577cc6183a6f533004044d908e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,958,248
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,074,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,958,248 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7acd…3cc9backed Yes | 17c | 303,249$52,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,173.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…2283backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed Yes | 1c | 142,195$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.52 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…0b95backed Yes | 0c | 115,336$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Yes | 1c | 52,057$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb0…69d2backed Yes | 0c | 39,310$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa714…4ff3backed Yes | 0c | 36,890$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1416…c996backed Yes | 0c | 36,530$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…1a68backed Yes | 0c | 33,910$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe425…6155backed Yes | 1c | 32,559$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…73e5backed No | 57c | 29,858$17,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,729.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed No | 56c | 27,580$15,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,094.43 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023a…4fbcbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96d…e809backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c1…0df7backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e16…84d7backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…7493backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 0c | 19,999$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Yes | 0c | 15,490$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 8c | 14,599$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.97 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 44c | 12,436$5,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,523.23 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 73c | 11,406$8,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.48 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…dd1ebacked Yes | 0c | 11,169$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…8de9backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 49c | 10,638$5,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,411.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 49c | 10,140$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.74 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe173…13ddbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0f…7037backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0992…2a08backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…faadbacked Yes | 1c | 8,256$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 48c | 7,407$3,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,563.1 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 61c | 7,185$4,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.8 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…7112backed No | 43c | 5,147$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.71 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7487…6f2dbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 54c | 4,862$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +630%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 70c | 4,015$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 25c | 3,557$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed Yes | 4c | 3,396$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850d…aae1backed Yes | 51c | 3,201$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 7c | 3,103$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.57 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3391…ed51backed No | 48c | 3,021$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…7f0abacked No | 36c | 2,776$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.88 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Yes | 2c | 2,768$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 58c | 2,431$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.48 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab7…3290backed Yes | 14c | 2,365$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.98 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 1c | 2,355$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 54c | 2,309$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.73 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 47c | 2,300$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 75c | 2,254$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 51c | 2,232$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 45c | 2,111$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.2 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Yes | 25c | 2,023$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…9cbdbacked Yes | 40c | 1,959$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 46c | 1,901$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.71 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 48c | 1,647$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.07 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Yes | 3c | 1,625$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 48c | 1,529$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.98 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 47c | 1,500$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,404$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.91 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +9.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…6ef6backed No | 37c | 1,400$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 44c | 1,105$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…4ef1backed Yes | 3c | 1,096$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,045$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd3…ef31backed Yes | 6c | 1,003$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e2…5009backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 36c | 905.22$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.51 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 53c | 827.49$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…bf9abacked No | 54c | 805.55$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…5f72backed Yes | 5c | 691.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 7c | 658.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141e…8c87backed Yes | 3c | 650.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 46c | 625$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…07f1backed Yes | 3c | 625$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…c1c2backed Yes | 54c | 617.73$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…c35fbacked Yes | 3c | 608.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 59c | 557.88$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.41 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…1921backed Yes | 29c | 545.8$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed No | 40c | 544$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.38 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 72c | 529.91$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 91 | 81.3%74 W · 17 L | +15.9wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Yes | 62c | 523.99$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.89 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 53c | 519$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.35 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 37c | 513.7$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 41c | 485$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…78d9backed Yes | 23c | 480.4$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed No | 66c | 454.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.6 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…c02cbacked Yes | 43c | 454$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 38c | 450.04$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.29 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 46c | 448.76$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 16c | 440.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 36c | 438.41$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.58 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…620fbacked Yes | 33c | 431.64$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 32cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 34c | 425.46$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.96 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed No | 54c | 424.89$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed No | 66c | 386.3$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 56c | 362.72$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.72 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 43c | 355.36$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?this page
- Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Kraken run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Ripple run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?Yes won
- Will Solana run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
- Will xAi/X run an Ad during Super Bowl LIX?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.