AI · resolved market
OpenAI browser by October 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41acd40c6ade9b403d019d1a7cb67b8b32687d53d6f8173ca289909220c1930e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2c5…d6f5backed No | 0c | 39,521$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…9189backed No | 1c | 31,877$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…f420backed No | 0c | 31,303$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 0c | 15,006$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06f…6981backed No | 1c | 12,723$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 7,346$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 3c | 6,521$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.63 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa3…16e5backed No | 3c | 6,129$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…5c3cbacked No | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 13c | 4,692$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…cfecbacked No | 9c | 4,415$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b51…5868backed No | 3c | 3,121$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…73fabacked No | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 1c | 2,852$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 1c | 2,307$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0c…5914backed No | 1c | 2,286$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95af…127fbacked No | 1c | 2,225$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…39a1backed No | 13c | 1,917$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d6…d964backed No | 3c | 1,910$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…cdc6backed No | 3c | 1,465$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…6658backed No | 7c | 1,351$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fb…859dbacked No | 14c | 1,258$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…90d0backed No | 9c | 1,158$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…8db2backed No | 2c | 1,100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked No | 15c | 1,078$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7af…bbf1backed No | 10c | 1,036$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.78 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 11c | 813.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x607f…fd4cbacked No | 14c | 721.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50df…1f07backed No | 14c | 693.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2c…e158backed No | 5c | 591.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8eba…8be2backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 4c | 492.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…cd6dbacked No | 10c | 408.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…57f5backed No | 4c | 384.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…c68cbacked No | 7c | 333.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992c…7072backed No | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb9…ee35backed No | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…e454backed No | 8c | 262.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…8fd6backed No | 12c | 252.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…ddd0backed No | 7c | 210$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…81d6backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6959…e791backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…3f6abacked No | 10c | 198.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…cb9cbacked No | 6c | 193.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5359…329fbacked No | 9c | 175$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479a…8c5abacked No | 12c | 161.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6118…8050backed No | 13c | 133.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…dee5backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…6022backed No | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.