College Football · resolved market
Temple vs. North Texas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd517f443205d3b10fa8a79a5b2651e141f31be010ae7255f6be31f308d0683d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Texasof Temple, North Texas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Temple | 8c | 93,297$7,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,463.76 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Temple | 2c | 19,473$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.88 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed Temple | 9c | 15,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Temple | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Temple | 8c | 4,226$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.07 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…ddd0backed Temple | 6c | 3,002$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Temple | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Temple | 7c | 2,682$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.73 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Temple | 8c | 2,643$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.64 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Temple | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Temple | 10c | 1,800$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.29 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Temple | 8c | 1,745$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.05 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Temple | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Temple | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Temple | 9c | 1,308$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Temple | 9c | 1,200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Temple | 5c | 1,062$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Temple | 8c | 1,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Temple | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Temple | 8c | 828.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Temple | 7c | 774.71$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Temple | 12c | 619.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Temple | 9c | 559.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Temple | 9c | 554.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d06…ae26backed Temple | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd575…9938backed Temple | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc85…366ebacked Temple | 8c | 420.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Temple | 9c | 399$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Temple | 8c | 364$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Temple | 8c | 346.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Temple | 6c | 273$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Temple | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Temple | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Temple | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Temple | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91bd…56babacked Temple | 9c | 199.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Temple | 7c | 163.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Temple | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Temple | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4217…8bf7backed Temple | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Temple vs. North Texasthis page
- Spread: North Texas (-19.5)North Texas won
- Spread: North Texas (-20.5)North Texas won
- Temple vs. North Texas: O/U 65.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.