Commodities · resolved market

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1be62d973dc8fb45de714eb2113118b6ac3e47694f8b0801c0c41d992d0b7c9f

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,052,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,459,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,052,249 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 505 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Commodities
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes	5c	150,264$8,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,135.79	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc040…beacbacked Yes	7c	90,414$6,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,777.61	79	32.9%26 W · 53 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf17…97d1backed Yes	10c	76,827$7,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,852.43	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53d3…60eebacked Yes	0c	68,746$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.44	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	6c	59,413$3,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,826.91	94	8.5%8 W · 86 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4478…02a4backed Yes	3c	48,227$1,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,211.78	87	34.5%30 W · 57 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…81d2backed Yes	2c	36,587$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.85	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.25per pick	19cpaid	+133.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d77…cf31backed Yes	1c	36,147$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.66	47	4.3%2 W · 45 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4f…4594backed Yes	4c	35,867$1,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.18	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-47%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes	4c	33,932$1,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,221.56	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a9…5a71backed Yes	4c	30,337$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-66%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf23…aa95backed Yes	22c	27,877$6,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,066.56	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-48%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Yes	4c	27,498$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.69	86	37.2%32 W · 54 L	-6.7wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d9f…9790backed Yes	4c	26,995$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.67	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	5c	25,582$1,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,252.65	97	9.3%9 W · 88 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked No	62c	24,131$14,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,205.86	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	+5.9wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70ff…b65fbacked Yes	4c	24,022$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.91	33	0%0 W · 33 L	-4.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes	1c	23,049$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.38	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+61.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb01…ead3backed Yes	2c	22,124$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c3…00c8backed No	78c	20,091$15,691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,400.04	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb760…ccd7backed Yes	2c	20,000$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.73	40	30%12 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+81.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Yes	3c	19,977$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.71	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	34cpaid	-77%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80a0…5708backed Yes	4c	19,412$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked Yes	4c	18,936$797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$796.94	99	14.1%14 W · 85 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	18,027$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.34	93	2.2%2 W · 91 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-86%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes	4c	18,025$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.07	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes	6c	17,894$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.7	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…ddfcbacked Yes	5c	17,719$878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$878.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe50b…32a2backed Yes	3c	17,336$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.86	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc2…597abacked Yes	1c	16,403$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.5	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.18per pick	25cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0d5…c665backed Yes	1c	15,942$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.11	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1851…ae47backed Yes	1c	15,598$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.75	25	24%6 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66c…58b9backed Yes	8c	15,265$1,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,165.62	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8c…9e5dbacked Yes	6c	15,075$875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875.17	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes	8c	15,038$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,141.02	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed Yes	7c	15,000$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,004	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93d5…0a45backed Yes	5c	15,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes	10c	14,802$1,465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,465.25	73	35.6%26 W · 47 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc7…2385backed Yes	2c	14,606$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.25	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked Yes	4c	13,200$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d68…11bcbacked Yes	5c	13,119$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.87	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64a9…7311backed Yes	0c	12,821$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	18cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x845e…d22bbacked Yes	3c	12,225$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.25	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes	0c	11,949$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc26…32cabacked Yes	10c	11,919$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155.39	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…df9ebacked Yes	0c	11,500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	2c	11,067$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed Yes	7c	10,943$791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791	21	14.3%3 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes	1c	10,708$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes	1c	10,547$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.81	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Yes	0c	10,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ae…ee94backed Yes	1c	10,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes	4c	10,000$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444	51	15.7%8 W · 43 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa65c…7997backed Yes	3c	10,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.29per pick	41cpaid	-78.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb34b…5d0ebacked Yes	1c	9,901$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.33	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb698…976abacked Yes	1c	9,828$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01a2…b1a0backed Yes	10c	9,776$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,007	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes	5c	9,575$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.68	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032a…cf07backed Yes	0c	9,259$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.3	9	0%0 W · 9 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	8,980$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.04	81	2.5%2 W · 79 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x748a…3c56backed Yes	2c	8,942$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.92	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	27cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes	1c	8,938$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.94	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+526.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67d0…db7abacked Yes	6c	8,443$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.22	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…1a48backed Yes	7c	8,259$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.22	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5bd…f03ebacked Yes	3c	8,156$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.91	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes	1c	7,727$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.18	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+3.8wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+144.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	4c	7,502$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.59	206	24.8%51 W · 155 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc435…2494backed Yes	3c	7,451$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.43	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-74%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e1d…1c4bbacked Yes	10c	7,425$751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$751.08	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-3.0wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0427…e9cebacked Yes	0c	7,388$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	6c	7,236$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.24	103	5.8%6 W · 97 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	74c	7,223$5,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,867.9	110	32.7%36 W · 74 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a7…881bbacked Yes	15c	7,200$1,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,047.6	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-5.8wins	-0.22per pick	61cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x9592…a7b8backed Yes	7c	7,155$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+4.6wins	+0.18per pick	21cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes	10c	7,100$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5011…220ebacked Yes	20c	7,021$1,408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,407.99	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Yes	10c	6,945$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.34	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Yes	2c	6,513$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.93	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+347.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	7c	6,217$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.84	1,024	9.1%93 W · 931 L	-25.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes	7c	6,000$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442	77	11.7%9 W · 68 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-53.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	2c	5,917$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.3	91	1.1%1 W · 90 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92d0…269ebacked Yes	2c	5,867$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.89	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+5.5wins	+0.14per pick	31cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes	2c	5,765$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.73	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1183…330bbacked Yes	3c	5,689$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes	9c	5,672$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.16	75	25.3%19 W · 56 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	5c	5,624$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.63	59	16.9%10 W · 49 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1d…3177backed Yes	16c	5,620$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503c…4574backed Yes	2c	5,566$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…b233backed Yes	10c	5,515$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.22	320	23.4%75 W · 245 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2222…f221backed Yes	1c	5,315$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.8	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf73f…ee53backed Yes	2c	5,252$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.48	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x808f…b31abacked Yes	1c	5,220$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes	4c	5,032$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.09	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	1c	5,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.20per pick	43cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed Yes	5c	4,982$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.6	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	7c	4,870$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.07	76	5.3%4 W · 72 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-31%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33de…e384backed Yes	14c	4,827$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ab…86cfbacked No	79c	4,822$3,788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,033.32	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	1c	4,494$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.63	47	17%8 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d7a…276fbacked Yes	11c	4,354$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.5	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-79%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?this page
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No won
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes won
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes won
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event