TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2fe7…03e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst Macro Indicators at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4647.8%22 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.49
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$173.2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+126.2%+$252.41
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.51
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$69.16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$90.15
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$114.76
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.99
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.5
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$207.9
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$111.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$531Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$531.23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.07
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$251.63
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+288.5%+$1,442.64
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42%+$71.45
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$128.14
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-53.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UK GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$30.6
Will UK GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$111.17
Will monthly inflation be between 2.9% and 3.1% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+488.2%+$66.39
Will monthly inflation be between 2.6% and 2.8% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$178.53
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$150.2
Will Germany GDP growth in Q4 2025 be exactly 0.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.0% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.09
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.1% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.7
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.2% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Will Canada's annual inflation increase by 2.1% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will the Eurozone's monthly inflation be 0.1% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
All 16 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.22
Will Drake have a #1 hit in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$59.4
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.04
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will "Risk It All - Bruno Mars" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27
Will "American Girls - Harry Styles" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+518.2%+$124.38
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.23
Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+82.6%+$110.8
Will "The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26.17
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+238.3%+$95.3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$29.59
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45.65
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+51.3%+$12.92
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$56
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$7.89
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.67
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$151.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.2
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.48
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$61.24
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$14.38
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+73.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+279.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+63.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-50.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 5-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+112.8%+$32.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.