Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 5-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeabd9115215a797b57d4e20535dc2f9da777896cc08cfef72e20fbc93b5fd82e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0154…15a8backed Yes | 63c | 20,315$12,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,610.84 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 42c | 20,178$8,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,625.88 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed No | 46c | 17,053$7,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,850.27 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 78c | 15,035$11,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.43 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed No | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 57c | 9,136$5,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,942.85 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 56c | 7,331$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.98 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…6e2ebacked No | 0c | 7,284$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 41c | 7,000$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,138.74 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d53…7bc8backed No | 0c | 6,453$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked No | 27c | 6,000$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.09 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 59c | 5,410$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,237.13 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…832fbacked No | 1c | 4,350$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…10b4backed No | 57c | 4,075$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.99 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba3…6055backed No | 28c | 3,570$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a2…dd48backed Yes | 58c | 2,800$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…fcefbacked No | 63c | 2,223$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa236…73f6backed No | 44c | 2,167$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fa…6ebabacked No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.42per pick | 51cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 55c | 1,838$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.36 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked No | 57c | 1,622$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -5.9wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 1,502$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.51 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 58c | 1,405$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.88 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked No | 68c | 1,218$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.42 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 27c | 936.56$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.16 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 900$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc749…e803backed Yes | 60c | 814.78$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.45 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 46c | 720$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.2 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Yes | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 61c | 595.41$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.53 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…e1dcbacked Yes | 62c | 582.68$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 42c | 562.44$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.85 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 42c | 551.9$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.38 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 59c | 517.27$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.61 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…5254backed No | 18c | 500$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 33c | 457.11$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.78 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…1e8abacked Yes | 41c | 417.07$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.07 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9196…c311backed No | 40c | 352.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 75c | 318.67$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…c97ebacked No | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.99 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x411b…ae57backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +166.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…f044backed No | 37c | 261.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5029…bdb4backed Yes | 39c | 259.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…2670backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes | 43c | 233.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.72 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…c8babacked No | 35c | 230$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae1…2973backed Yes | 44c | 227.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…735cbacked Yes | 50c | 200.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 25c | 200.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…81dcbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb60e…3574backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…91b5backed No | 61c | 196.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…2312backed Yes | 48c | 188$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…03bbbacked Yes | 45c | 184.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…bf99backed Yes | 45c | 184.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 22c | 171.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd962…1d5cbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…9386backed Yes | 41c | 167.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…e91dbacked No | 61c | 164.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae05…f5d1backed Yes | 39c | 164.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19cc…2529backed Yes | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…0148backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…1214backed No | 25c | 115$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…e203backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c76…c8d5backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…0521backed No | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…d705backed Yes | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a94…89d7backed Yes | 40c | 100.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…e10dbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…1628backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e93…e71abacked No | 60c | 92.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d350backed Yes | 46c | 86.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…de81backed Yes | 41c | 84.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…bef0backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x400c…781ebacked Yes | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…3537backed Yes | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb9…44f5backed No | 45c | 76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc616…3eedbacked No | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…fd32backed Yes | 68c | 73.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…869bbacked No | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…5b65backed No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…1d80backed No | 60c | 68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…03e0backed Yes | 47c | 62.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…2e43backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x549a…c866backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…a1c4backed Yes | 51c | 49.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…afc3backed No | 55c | 48.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 38c | 45.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…3861backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…93c7backed No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 5-11?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 5-11?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 5-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.