Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 5-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91409d407419b6efeba3ff04d034916c925a0c82d00ee1bb44cd8c1f58e0adf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $618,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $594,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $618,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x691f…41a1backed Yes | 10c | 128,059$12,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,683.93 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…39dbbacked Yes | 2c | 25,515$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed No | 40c | 16,632$6,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,966.43 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…15a8backed No | 76c | 13,288$10,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.83 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,122$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 80 | 0%0 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 3c | 11,026$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.89 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 14c | 10,165$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.32 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5831…3f6cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,025$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed No | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0b…0445backed Yes | 1c | 5,954$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 5,948$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.27 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,902$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab5…bb25backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0f…df30backed Yes | 25c | 4,831$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 4c | 4,700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 3,939$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 31c | 3,922$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.88 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe700…7005backed No | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +6.9wins | +0.50per pick | 29cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 20c | 3,000$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 56c | 2,980$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.09 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ff…d3bfbacked Yes | 9c | 2,972$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.45 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,892$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 12c | 2,600$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.3 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 4c | 2,592$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 14c | 2,212$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 35c | 2,045$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.3 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 8c | 1,769$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.02 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…bb47backed Yes | 12c | 1,512$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.73 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18b…9491backed Yes | 2c | 1,351$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 1,325$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 62c | 1,291$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.02 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6925…d76dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,247$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0777…df1fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,229$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed No | 34c | 1,222$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.16 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…1512backed Yes | 4c | 1,214$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 62c | 1,165$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.16 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b99…1cd7backed Yes | 26c | 1,088$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.34 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…bfffbacked Yes | 1c | 1,018$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…54cebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ca…a461backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 923.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a4…f692backed Yes | 4c | 891.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc749…e803backed Yes | 5c | 883.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 7c | 700$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 11c | 700$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 77c | 696.51$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.92 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -21.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 27c | 657.66$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.06 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 78c | 644.34$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.22 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…3793backed Yes | 11c | 643.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 9c | 630$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 3c | 618.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 7c | 568.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…1e2ebacked No | 57c | 535$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b6…4c95backed No | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56a…85d7backed No | 37c | 486.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c76…c8d5backed Yes | 25c | 463.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…6e97backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…11a9backed Yes | 8c | 437$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…c3d4backed Yes | 5c | 369.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e7…89ffbacked Yes | 14c | 353.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…9e8abacked Yes | 8c | 344.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd389…8378backed Yes | 11c | 339.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…96c0backed Yes | 55c | 325$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.48 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…14cabacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152e…6e7abacked Yes | 4c | 282.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…2312backed Yes | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…91b5backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde8…15a1backed Yes | 76c | 263.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x400c…781ebacked Yes | 46c | 258.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a9…c074backed Yes | 9c | 250.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…ee6cbacked Yes | 32c | 240$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7de…dae0backed Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…8eccbacked Yes | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…2eddbacked No | 80c | 189$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…11c6backed No | 31c | 181.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +117%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…7484backed No | 38c | 180$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…d661backed No | 55c | 168$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85a0…1a27backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…dbcabacked Yes | 36c | 147.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +185.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…d8cdbacked Yes | 58c | 146$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…8d9bbacked Yes | 10c | 136$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 64c | 131.06$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…b0a9backed Yes | 73c | 127.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…c3d7backed No | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52d…3728backed Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 10c | 119.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…3bd4backed Yes | 24c | 115$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…360fbacked No | 72c | 113.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cd…4d9cbacked No | 79c | 110.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…8a1abacked Yes | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…a465backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…7797backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…f61fbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe014…18b5backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 5-11?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 5-11?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 5-11?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 5-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.