Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0ccb3bbb187bc365533b1fee8ffa77815d4beb640a8ec17339125174d9e771e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $691,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $727,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $691,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 8c | 41,036$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.09 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 77c | 25,891$19,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,002.75 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…39dbbacked Yes | 10c | 25,805$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.72 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 9c | 13,527$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.89 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 26c | 12,279$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.81 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 72c | 7,329$5,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.59 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 79c | 7,326$5,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.17 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed No | 56c | 6,050$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 33c | 4,988$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.26 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,912$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 23c | 4,801$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.39 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 21c | 4,668$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.45 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…15a8backed No | 79c | 4,393$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.34 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9fee…eda2backed No | 70c | 4,000$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…1e8abacked Yes | 27c | 3,146$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 12c | 3,083$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.62 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Yes | 13c | 3,044$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.24 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cd…77c1backed Yes | 7c | 2,972$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 3c | 2,794$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9df…023fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,575$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 71c | 2,365$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.59 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 23c | 2,346$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.18 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 2,295$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.1 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Yes | 42c | 2,100$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,080$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 2,055$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.75 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…0270backed Yes | 51c | 2,003$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…16a6backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e98…d70ebacked No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab5…bb25backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…85f4backed No | 51c | 1,964$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 31c | 1,852$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.05 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…e7e9backed No | 78c | 1,814$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…0da7backed Yes | 7c | 1,714$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff2…8ab4backed Yes | 4c | 1,601$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 17c | 1,578$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.45 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 7c | 1,364$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…7a36backed Yes | 4c | 1,360$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,300$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 85 | 5.9%5 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…0507backed No | 78c | 1,281$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ed…10b4backed Yes | 9c | 1,264$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 76c | 1,222$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.37 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -18.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…2670backed Yes | 30c | 1,167$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…4bdabacked Yes | 4c | 1,118$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +549.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…9e81backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed Yes | 10c | 993.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 16c | 972.84$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.52 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1c…3ca5backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…d8cdbacked No | 51c | 904.49$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.14 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…256bbacked Yes | 4c | 881.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Yes | 7c | 877.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed No | 65c | 858.28$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.4 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b7…7e0dbacked Yes | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb60e…3574backed Yes | 35c | 800$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 13c | 765.88$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…590ebacked No | 78c | 762.2$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…c58fbacked No | 62c | 761.4$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.98 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 17c | 738.18$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…998cbacked Yes | 14c | 736.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 8c | 713.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5029…bdb4backed Yes | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…324bbacked Yes | 10c | 653.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +12.3wins | +0.19per pick | 4cpaid | +272.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 23c | 600.5$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Yes | 18c | 548.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d350backed Yes | 26c | 538.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…e281backed Yes | 3c | 530$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b1…90f6backed No | 76c | 501.53$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4c…a5f0backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…38cebacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 49c | 500$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…855cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…a91dbacked Yes | 11c | 499.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…de55backed Yes | 23c | 497.25$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 80c | 444.81$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…03bbbacked Yes | 30c | 393.47$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414d…d470backed Yes | 25c | 358.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa236…73f6backed No | 65c | 349.15$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…bfffbacked Yes | 7c | 336.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9b…3305backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…1dc7backed Yes | 15c | 308.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…cf28backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…de81backed Yes | 15c | 295.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbede…8f98backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes | 8c | 279$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe928…f6b6backed Yes | 29c | 277.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152e…6e7abacked Yes | 22c | 273.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…fd55backed Yes | 25c | 266.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…eaaebacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…11a9backed Yes | 26c | 261$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b05…6ee3backed No | 73c | 251.37$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…d705backed Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…0148backed Yes | 21c | 236.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 6c | 233.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…6709backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 January 5-11?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $104,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $106,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 5-11?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 January 5-11?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 5-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.