Ukraine · resolved market
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa57a027158ce73973cdd13eed901c6e767a1b9e2f88c665dab8757a65b60d203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $794,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $660,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $794,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x152f…a549backed Yes | 11c | 39,905$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +295.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b66ebacked Yes | 8c | 32,792$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…d4febacked Yes | 12c | 25,933$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 17cpaid | +387.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5738…cbb7backed Yes | 2c | 20,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +251.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…f6eebacked Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 5c | 15,414$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.92 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…ab1ebacked Yes | 13c | 14,819$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +284.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…db7abacked Yes | 8c | 13,933$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +133%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…5087backed Yes | 15c | 12,127$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…f147backed Yes | 8c | 11,661$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 10c | 11,355$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e22…155dbacked Yes | 4c | 10,566$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 12c | 10,471$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.26 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…1543backed Yes | 5c | 8,416$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +438%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed Yes | 7c | 8,136$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 18c | 6,692$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.37 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…7f61backed Yes | 6c | 6,237$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -49%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 13c | 6,127$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a58…f18abacked Yes | 12c | 6,011$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +1,115%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…e61dbacked Yes | 7c | 5,926$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.13 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 5,636$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.72 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe185…5f21backed Yes | 18c | 5,636$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…0dfebacked Yes | 2c | 5,610$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +213.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 16c | 5,562$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.43 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,990$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 5c | 4,950$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd39e…567fbacked Yes | 5c | 4,705$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 5cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 4,579$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.83 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…3b6cbacked Yes | 11c | 4,415$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +317.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 4,104$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.07 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 11c | 3,985$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 3,831$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.77 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 13c | 3,354$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.09 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +269.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffa…b3c4backed Yes | 21c | 3,017$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 13c | 3,000$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.28 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 2c | 2,823$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0834…92dabacked Yes | 5c | 2,772$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6efebacked Yes | 7c | 2,724$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.55 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 2,684$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -12.8wins | -0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -91.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a83…7d16backed Yes | 8c | 2,506$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x327e…adb3backed Yes | 4c | 2,502$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 7c | 2,436$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.14 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…bae8backed Yes | 8c | 2,205$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +326.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 12c | 2,149$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.58 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f67…099dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…5839backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9812…644fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,980$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…bec8backed Yes | 3c | 1,829$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +341.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cb…43eebacked Yes | 1c | 1,710$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…df0abacked Yes | 11c | 1,693$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 31c | 1,639$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.33 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd414…a4dbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,634$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…afe9backed Yes | 14c | 1,619$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ed…443cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,597$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…7b8ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,537$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda9…2dcabacked Yes | 5c | 1,527$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…d35dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,518$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…2a6ebacked No | 71c | 1,498$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.35 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 7c | 1,484$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,481$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.63 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 22c | 1,471$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.62 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c4…43e8backed Yes | 8c | 1,468$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…0f42backed Yes | 5c | 1,450$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 9c | 1,370$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.27 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ea…1043backed No | 74c | 1,360$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bc…e066backed Yes | 5c | 1,291$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f5…f85bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,273$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,262$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…619cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,260$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 13c | 1,243$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.7 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 19c | 1,228$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.01 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…92a7backed Yes | 9c | 1,200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…e1f2backed Yes | 10c | 1,155$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…65d8backed No | 74c | 1,136$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.14 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked No | 62c | 1,124$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.45 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…2f27backed Yes | 30c | 1,100$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.21 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…24ffbacked Yes | 25c | 1,087$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…49e4backed Yes | 5c | 1,074$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…1b57backed Yes | 6c | 1,028$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…bbe4backed No | 67c | 1,026$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.91 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc510…2508backed Yes | 10c | 1,025$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…2ecdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,018$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 7c | 1,013$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 15c | 1,012$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…945abacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…53debacked Yes | 13c | 999.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…fccbbacked Yes | 10c | 999.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 4c | 999.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…f372backed Yes | 5c | 985.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d78…4cc1backed Yes | 6c | 983.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…227ebacked Yes | 34c | 978.55$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…c782backed Yes | 4c | 976.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…7c20backed Yes | 6c | 972$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…a315backed Yes | 31c | 962$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed No | 73c | 961.19$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.48 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3514…2a5bbacked Yes | 10c | 950.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…f3b3backed Yes | 6c | 937$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb08…2b30backed Yes | 12c | 925.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.