Lol · resolved market
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b5ba91ea8fde1fd4e8459c5d7a048959c40a3a3c7847ecb3ffb4e82f70c7cb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $868,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $815,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $868,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x831a…d532backed Yes | 0c | 687,657$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Yes | 4c | 10,629$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.47 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Yes | 5c | 7,561$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.38 | 531 | 39.9%212 W · 319 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 7,306$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.79 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fb…441bbacked Yes | 6c | 7,044$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Yes | 4c | 6,259$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.54 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 5c | 5,613$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.97 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Yes | 4c | 5,474$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.58 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…6328backed Yes | 4c | 3,806$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.41 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,778$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae49…4623backed Yes | 4c | 2,519$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 2,462$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | +572.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…8266backed Yes | 4c | 2,183$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 151 | 35.1%53 W · 98 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 2c | 2,085$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c5…73cbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,053$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713c…6b30backed Yes | 7c | 1,922$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…d362backed Yes | 6c | 1,711$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Yes | 5c | 1,614$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…03e0backed Yes | 4c | 1,586$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…be0fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,497$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 5c | 1,492$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,449$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a28…8962backed Yes | 8c | 1,321$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 1,240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…618dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,204$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Yes | 4c | 1,174$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…f99fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,116$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Yes | 6c | 1,115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 307 | 34.5%106 W · 201 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…0bffbacked Yes | 3c | 1,038$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 225 | 32.4%73 W · 152 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c9…9c92backed Yes | 5c | 1,038$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…4546backed Yes | 3c | 910$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 2c | 861.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 7c | 857.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…afb8backed Yes | 3c | 814.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 4c | 803.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Yes | 6c | 783.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912d…794fbacked Yes | 5c | 746.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c6…1879backed Yes | 7c | 744.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes | 7c | 733.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 267 | 54.7%146 W · 121 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…8ee1backed Yes | 5c | 698.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 692.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Yes | 2c | 683.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 4c | 625.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9ee9backed Yes | 6c | 580.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…9832backed Yes | 4c | 530$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 516.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 4cpaid | +225.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed Yes | 6c | 510.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +137.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…2cdbbacked Yes | 5c | 500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 5c | 499.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 4c | 490.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked Yes | 5c | 438.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Yes | 5c | 418.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…fb44backed Yes | 6c | 415.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 4c | 406.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…3c17backed Yes | 5c | 402.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 5c | 399.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Yes | 5c | 399.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 7c | 343.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Yes | 6c | 316.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…8a5dbacked Yes | 7c | 313.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 4c | 311.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e53…b0a7backed Yes | 5c | 306.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 5c | 294.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 5c | 269.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a0…207bbacked Yes | 6c | 256.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…4647backed Yes | 5c | 229.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed Yes | 7c | 222.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 5c | 211.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2004…cb6fbacked Yes | 7c | 196.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 237 | 60.3%143 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce5…cca5backed Yes | 8c | 181.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 6c | 181.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03bd…b422backed Yes | 6c | 170.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?this page
- Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026?No won
- Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?Yes won
- Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win MSI 2026?No won
- Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?No won
- Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.