Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bafa54f71d315b59d161d1c65ecd37e0d541771223a67e97c495d4a22d76b92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 43c | 980.61$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.52 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5a…b6c6backed Yes | 55c | 947.95$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.51 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 41c | 643$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.54 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 50c | 356.19$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.98 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…7edabacked No | 59c | 349.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 62c | 255.35$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 40c | 246.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 40c | 227.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 58c | 212.82$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.26 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 40c | 201.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 61c | 194.62$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.77 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 51c | 187.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.9 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 41c | 160$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 54c | 152.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 44c | 152$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 39c | 150.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 40c | 145.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 52c | 145.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 37c | 144.55$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 122.16$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 36c | 117.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.75 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 53c | 115$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 63c | 110.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 49c | 108.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 56c | 107.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed No | 37c | 107.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 54c | 106.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 56c | 104.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9a05backed No | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 206 | 31.1%64 W · 142 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed No | 47c | 92.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 43c | 87.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…7be5backed No | 34c | 80.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…6ff8backed Yes | 66c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 193 | 45.6%88 W · 105 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 40c | 73.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 54c | 73.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed Yes | 35c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 35c | 67.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…5710backed Yes | 51c | 63.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed No | 37c | 62.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…156fbacked No | 60c | 59.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 41c | 58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 39c | 55.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad80…eca5backed Yes | 47c | 53.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…4331backed Yes | 34c | 52.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 34c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…02e9backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c67fbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…866abacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 39c | 47.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 43c | 45.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 55c | 43.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…bde5backed No | 59c | 40.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 49c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 44c | 34.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 32c | 34.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 41c | 33.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 39c | 33.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…118ebacked Yes | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 208 | 42.8%89 W · 119 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 57c | 32.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 42c | 29.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…eb2bbacked No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 58c | 23.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed No | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 68c | 21.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa616…5368backed No | 58c | 20.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 62c | 19.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.