Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdff3cbbbf1577a8be9d6d3ccd4a4da6352c11185e6ff87d0e06c3741e1f1f06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 26c | 579.42$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.31 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 57c | 554.25$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.76 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 2c | 480$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5a…b6c6backed Yes | 32c | 449.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.59 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 50c | 396.32$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 40c | 280.09$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.82 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 45c | 260.57$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.7 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 65c | 242$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.17 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 39c | 226.12$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.06 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 67c | 215.04$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.08 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 63c | 201.69$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.89 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 198.18$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 65c | 196.81$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 50c | 194.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.87 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 23c | 186.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.28 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Yes | 33c | 169.53$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 168.12$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 77c | 163.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 157.3$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d8…9ccdbacked Yes | 49c | 132.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 130.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 63c | 120.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 42c | 118.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687b…a490backed Yes | 26c | 109.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 62c | 108.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 70c | 104.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 10c | 101.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.59 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0f…9a05backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 31.1%64 W · 142 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 89.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 30c | 79.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…64ccbacked Yes | 41c | 77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 36c | 73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 63c | 71.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5948…2d49backed No | 21c | 70.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 69c | 61.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 65c | 60.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed Yes | 25c | 52.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked Yes | 46c | 50.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c67fbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 24c | 49.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…7be5backed Yes | 41c | 48.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 28c | 45.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 29c | 42.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 60c | 41.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 46c | 41.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…a9d2backed Yes | 26c | 40.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 292 | 19.5%57 W · 235 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…02e9backed Yes | 49c | 37.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed Yes | 43c | 36.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 62c | 34.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 72c | 33.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 68c | 33.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 46c | 33.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 40c | 31.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 58c | 30.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cc…4e1bbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 52c | 29.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x71d3…5710backed Yes | 59c | 29.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…eb2bbacked No | 69c | 28.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed Yes | 49c | 25.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 40c | 25.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked No | 77c | 25.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd670…1e02backed No | 77c | 25.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 222 | 65.8%146 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 52c | 21.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb901…9fc4backed Yes | 75c | 21.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 118 | 83.9%99 W · 19 L | +34.3wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 77+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 74c | 20.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 76c | 20.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…8474backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…26aabacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 68c | 18.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked No | 68c | 18.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 77c | 16.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 74c | 14.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.