TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,307 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xadea…b96dbacked No58c45,857$26,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,115.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes42c31,709$13,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,168.8829637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c8,753$5,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,261.7652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c6,347$2,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,545.361,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes36c5,964$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.22650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7618…24c6backed Yes43c5,865$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes41c3,747$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.7622745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No63c3,571$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.2721143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No60c2,558$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.24551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Yes42c2,381$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No61c2,075$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.3130448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7208250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No64c1,782$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.89046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No54c1,770$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.562050%10 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+51.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No60c1,708$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.2648649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No62c1,517$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.6713250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No64c1,375$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.251050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No61c1,302$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.793946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5180…9cf1backed Yes41c1,256$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004742.6%20 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Yes42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes6c1,163$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.871,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes40c1,113$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.7623342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Yes42c1,109$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No67c1,060$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.981070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Yes42c952.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No64c940.46$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.5612647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes39c921.39$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.1218351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes40c900$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36026041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf5…0144backed Yes38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-63.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeb9…f6b3backed Yes37c777.47$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes36c697.12$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No64c612.5$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.9733148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1590…9e72backed Yes40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No63c588$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6427748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No59c537$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.174050%20 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+110.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f87…2b4dbacked Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked No63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No62c492$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes40c450$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes42c407$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.942751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed No59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No69c349.29$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.772133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.584372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No62c300.55$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.163548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked No60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70cb…950ebacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes40c246$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.428448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No63c243.2$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4438056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes42c229.79$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8910640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No64c224$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.64862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04e7…332fbacked No59c203.39$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed No60c187$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.81968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+117.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No61c180$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.17060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes41c170.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc21e…0215backed Yes33c165.07$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c147.75$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9530…fb26backed Yes14c142.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9970%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes8c139.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4118046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes41c136.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No59c130$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.464151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f5b…315ebacked Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2955…7639backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes40c119.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.614934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes36c111.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1316224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed No61c103.28$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…a130backed Yes39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442536%9 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3820…ffc3backed Yes42c97.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes19c87.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.363537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No64c83.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.021258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03d7…cdcbbacked Yes39c81.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes42c79.25$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.925860.3%35 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ace…23d1backed Yes33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No58c75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed No64c75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ce…d827backed Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5767…490ebacked Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes27c66.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.889535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed No61c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0da…15b9backed Yes19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes41c58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.732556%14 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Yes40c53.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.26650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked No54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…b97ebacked Yes23c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No58c49.23$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9145233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…4118backed No66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+71.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a46…2482backed No63c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No61c44.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.492045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No62c44.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.97149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed No59c40.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa250…b806backed Yes34c40.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.