TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,349
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,349 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No59c16,444$9,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,706.7629637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes30c16,165$4,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,315.492642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes72c12,500$8,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,526.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No34c8,121$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.181,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes36c8,071$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,186.0152550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes58c7,562$4,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,160.6722745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No68c4,000$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7206347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Yes31c3,333$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No68c2,263$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.4830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1602…fbb0backed Yes25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes50c1,877$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5180…9cf1backed Yes32c1,813$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed No70c1,722$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.59425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed No65c1,648$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc89e…6a30backed Yes34c1,600$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-51.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes32c1,563$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.53619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes32c1,209$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.4613250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c1,201$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.451,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No68c1,200$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8165151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No48c1,139$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.819046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes66c1,011$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51a3…9c26backed Yes32c906.25$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes35c855.52$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.391050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked No71c845.07$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No68c800$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5443250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes33c757.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.581050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No68c743.37$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No69c734.06$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.8326041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes28c703.46$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.492857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+37.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes33c696.97$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No68c681.41$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.363948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No40c606.36$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.661070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes35c565.08$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.3727748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…98bebacked Yes22c545.91$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick18cpaid+354.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes35c534$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.133148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No37c524.66$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.932133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Yes32c440$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+55.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2726654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2726357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2725251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2726051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2725251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2724854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes22c393$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.54520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes31c368.73$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.784934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No68c338.61$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.612647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No68c312$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.164252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04c7…c7a7backed No33c259.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307e…a827backed Yes22c218.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Yes32c203$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.041968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+117.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1364553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0720backed Yes20c200$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+60.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ef6…c784backed Yes27c198.96$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No68c194.94$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5323342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No30c190.53$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6526046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No12c179.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Yes33c170$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No80c164.56$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.522147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes30c158.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.874151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes35c158$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70cb…950ebacked No68c147.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.03757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes22c136.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No41c133.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.255042%21 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No68c131.82$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0546450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes33c130.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.127149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Yes35c127.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c125.22$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes35c122$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.383548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No28c117.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.889535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes20c115$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607227.8%20 W · 52 L-10.8wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes74c97.17$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.541471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.752142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Yes79c93.11$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.19785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No65c90.41$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0738056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No75c90$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes74c88.22$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.691361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes35c80.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No68c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.45352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes30c76.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9530…fb26backed No40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No68c74.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb830…b4debacked No69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1683…3cc1backed Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d4…5058backed Yes33c62.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.315071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed No39c58.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No23c58.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes60c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd515…2c54backed Yes38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Yes31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.516448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Yes30c48.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes41c48.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.791060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a0…5fdbbacked Yes32c46.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd2…aafebacked Yes33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.452100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+155.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed Yes32c45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+56.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes52c44.62$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.413100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No52c44.06$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.815860.3%35 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.