South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfed52ae6723228bcc85877f08f1584a1b3eac79c3310dc9790de4ea04016e241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 49c | 82,361$40,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,315.94 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 51c | 13,202$6,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,733.02 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 10,763$5,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,188.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 51c | 10,575$5,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,420.29 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 35c | 9,775$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.34 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 6,958$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Yes | 51c | 6,471$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 52c | 4,871$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.42 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.99 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 49c | 3,493$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.19 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 51c | 2,058$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.58 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 51c | 2,058$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.58 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 51c | 1,939$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.74 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Yes | 51c | 1,469$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.96 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 52c | 1,441$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.13 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 1,395$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.3 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.23 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Yes | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 51c | 660.1$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.65 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yes | 37c | 400$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Yes | 52c | 389.68$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…2b4dbacked Yes | 54c | 371.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 248.76$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 232.24$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Yes | 51c | 167.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 40c | 156$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 79c | 147.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 18c | 145$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 78c | 143.84$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Yes | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 73c | 135.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 51c | 131.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 53c | 127$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 123.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 13c | 113.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 51c | 105.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 47c | 104.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 52c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 51c | 97.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 17c | 85.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 28c | 83.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed Yes | 51c | 81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 51c | 77.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 26c | 76.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 52c | 73.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 28c | 70.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes | 27c | 67.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 52c | 62.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 46c | 60.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 23c | 58.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 51c | 53.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Yes | 51c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec80…7298backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Yes | 52c | 31.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 36c | 31.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Yes | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 31 | 87.1%27 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 78cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Yes | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 51c | 22.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 52c | 20.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 51c | 20.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.