Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8dc29b283cc6bc95c42b9698da34d14b04c2bae919e2871780ec15fc8105e39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06dc…4524backed Yes | 9c | 25,627$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.93 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes | 4c | 19,125$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Yes | 9c | 7,832$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 64c | 5,254$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.13 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa19c…de6bbacked Yes | 25c | 4,888$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.5 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…9bfdbacked Yes | 7c | 4,320$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.79 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 4c | 3,963$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.98 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…1654backed Yes | 32c | 3,791$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6298…b24bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,531$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,552$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d9…23f3backed Yes | 32c | 2,342$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.32 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…edb6backed Yes | 16c | 2,146$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…1527backed Yes | 47c | 2,077$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…64aebacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 24c | 1,952$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.14 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc20…8ed3backed No | 68c | 1,891$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 59c | 1,840$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.1 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 30c | 1,720$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.7 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805f…54a4backed Yes | 43c | 1,716$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 60c | 1,659$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.61 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,513$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…3e6ebacked No | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 10c | 1,250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 9c | 1,001$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…51dbbacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 4c | 971.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 68c | 956.66$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…798fbacked Yes | 28c | 887.51$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 23c | 873.07$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.87 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…5753backed Yes | 1c | 871.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec35…cea9backed Yes | 22c | 854.17$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 5c | 799.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…824ebacked Yes | 6c | 777$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed Yes | 3c | 736.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…f218backed Yes | 5c | 736.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 3c | 647.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…d034backed Yes | 54c | 596.18$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9445…e3abbacked Yes | 7c | 553.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6b…196cbacked Yes | 9c | 538.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…fcc4backed No | 65c | 500.7$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.24 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadb5…4d50backed Yes | 3c | 500.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf1…6ca1backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…2b4dbacked Yes | 40c | 496.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5560…dfebbacked Yes | 53c | 489.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed No | 71c | 487.05$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.77 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked No | 68c | 436.13$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…114bbacked Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…6feabacked No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…bb3abacked No | 79c | 379.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca68…bd3abacked Yes | 5c | 374.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 27c | 365.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 36c | 335.62$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…0516backed Yes | 9c | 304.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +526.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcaac…c198backed No | 69c | 287.02$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f11…15b5backed Yes | 5c | 285.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 42c | 221.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +135%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c48dbacked Yes | 29c | 211.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 6c | 181.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…e9debacked No | 59c | 162.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +5.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +693.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…ac29backed No | 75c | 157$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 10c | 153$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 137.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…7849backed Yes | 27c | 127.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +478.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c30…8665backed No | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…04c9backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…1d13backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…17a3backed Yes | 19c | 95.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…d46bbacked Yes | 25c | 80.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134e…d718backed No | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe94d…c69abacked No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b1…b789backed Yes | 40c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…a324backed Yes | 55c | 70.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…a472backed Yes | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef1…89e3backed Yes | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c7…b3d1backed Yes | 54c | 54.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…46bfbacked No | 63c | 50.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 57c | 43.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…6767backed Yes | 44c | 41.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca76…c885backed Yes | 29c | 41.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…1be9backed No | 73c | 40.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…cfc8backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…ccd4backed No | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…24b8backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…bccebacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…b1f1backed Yes | 39c | 38.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd356…963dbacked Yes | 34c | 35.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e3e1backed Yes | 38c | 30.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes | 51c | 27.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…4f97backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 August 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 August 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 10-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.