Movies · resolved market
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94e44fdc3379d608696aeabc50f82b962a967fe8de0d32093995e4c542b20392
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $437,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $437,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0097…4a1dbacked No | 11c | 49,830$5,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,593.87 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…03b8backed No | 2c | 39,250$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 21,642$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.47 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff1…6930backed No | 3c | 21,047$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 73c | 18,024$13,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,781.01 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 55c | 11,991$6,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,375.56 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 12c | 11,900$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…2ff6backed No | 67c | 7,531$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked No | 2c | 7,337$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed No | 6c | 6,786$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…5b73backed No | 25c | 6,732$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4262…0ef2backed No | 0c | 6,233$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606e…1fa6backed No | 1c | 5,860$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd723…25bfbacked No | 35c | 5,136$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 10c | 5,005$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.25 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed No | 23c | 5,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…7574backed No | 5c | 4,374$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa46…45eebacked No | 5c | 4,185$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066d…07bcbacked No | 25c | 3,529$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.35 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…5570backed No | 2c | 3,303$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f81…86efbacked No | 5c | 3,269$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…326dbacked No | 1c | 3,067$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed No | 4c | 3,015$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…fec7backed No | 3c | 2,973$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed No | 5c | 2,971$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…6f69backed No | 5c | 2,685$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…b8c0backed No | 5c | 2,610$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked No | 1c | 2,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 50c | 2,436$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…1b19backed No | 7c | 2,326$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…476bbacked No | 21c | 2,190$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x878c…c12abacked No | 10c | 2,097$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 37c | 1,972$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.19 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe5…91aabacked No | 12c | 1,896$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed No | 6c | 1,868$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x592d…dcaabacked No | 5c | 1,487$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…b99fbacked No | 15c | 1,468$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed No | 1c | 1,439$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 61c | 1,345$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.88 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ee…c234backed No | 37c | 1,344$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.56 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9afe…062abacked Yes | 72c | 1,342$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed Yes | 70c | 1,331$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.95 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb739…a47bbacked No | 7c | 1,295$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ad…a859backed Yes | 78c | 1,279$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…e6afbacked No | 20c | 1,220$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…efffbacked No | 10c | 1,216$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…d521backed Yes | 63c | 1,200$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abe…37b7backed Yes | 68c | 1,155$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c2…13d2backed No | 9c | 1,154$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…0ccebacked No | 2c | 1,119$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecb…a593backed No | 3c | 1,065$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed No | 7c | 1,055$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c68cbacked Yes | 80c | 1,011$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked Yes | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 35c | 940.98$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.64 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…9b5fbacked No | 9c | 918.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed No | 13c | 902.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…eaf8backed No | 11c | 883.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805f…54a4backed No | 40c | 872.76$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…9b18backed No | 8c | 827.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked No | 62c | 800.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked No | 11c | 787.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 24c | 776$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02e…6fa6backed No | 13c | 771.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…61eabacked Yes | 69c | 762.88$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…0c84backed No | 9c | 752.15$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…0f96backed No | 10c | 749.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d591backed No | 2c | 700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c97…fa05backed No | 25c | 693.14$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc3…7021backed No | 9c | 674.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…f058backed No | 4c | 671.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 2c | 662.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5228backed No | 41c | 661.64$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.78 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked No | 7c | 659.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19c…6c2cbacked No | 15c | 613.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 60c | 610$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…bb33backed No | 4c | 555.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf7…afa8backed Yes | 65c | 544.28$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf080…06e3backed No | 4c | 543.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…7b8ebacked No | 13c | 539.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159e…050ebacked No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5678…764dbacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed No | 2c | 499.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 53c | 488.07$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.2 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…0343backed No | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…8ad7backed No | 16c | 442.01$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…a0eebacked No | 14c | 440.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1021…e648backed Yes | 55c | 436.92$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 4c | 429.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…e689backed No | 4c | 426.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…8220backed No | 24c | 422.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…15c6backed No | 41c | 404.39$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548b…8390backed Yes | 51c | 400.01$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.1 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…7195backed Yes | 65c | 394.25$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ab…d374backed No | 3c | 386.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecd…d63fbacked No | 4c | 370$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5f…38b9backed No | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…439dbacked No | 14c | 359.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89a…eb7cbacked Yes | 37c | 351.31$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.