TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Open, Qualification ATP: Pedro Martinez vs Daniil Glinka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Daniil Glinkaof Pedro Martinez, Daniil Glinka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$869,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$997,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $869,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe30e…6b87backed Daniil Glinka51c317,186$162,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154,961.977452.7%39 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Pedro Martinez53c235,951$125,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,134.761,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3970…44cebacked Daniil Glinka48c234,032$111,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122,521.121154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Pedro Martinez47c41,589$19,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,448.558,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Pedro Martinez57c19,669$11,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,30017556.6%99 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Pedro Martinez49c16,041$7,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,920.23,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Pedro Martinez46c15,000$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,9004431.8%14 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1dd…fb67backed Pedro Martinez27c10,674$2,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,868.464938.8%19 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Pedro Martinez45c6,818$3,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,098.394,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pedro Martinez47c6,649$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,140.4511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pedro Martinez48c5,431$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.468,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x796f…00f6backed Pedro Martinez44c4,753$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.2315545.2%70 W · 85 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Daniil Glinka67c4,460$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.025756.1%32 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2de2…11a9backed Pedro Martinez49c4,032$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.0610346.6%48 W · 55 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda6…84c5backed Daniil Glinka52c3,500$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6808151.9%42 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+124.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x351f…b0d8backed Daniil Glinka49c3,162$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.937100%7 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Pedro Martinez47c2,247$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04530647.7%146 W · 160 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Pedro Martinez56c2,181$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.093,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Daniil Glinka45c2,086$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.0682958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b4…9fc9backed Pedro Martinez54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…107bbacked Pedro Martinez53c1,840$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Daniil Glinka42c1,811$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.5532333.7%109 W · 214 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Pedro Martinez57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009951.5%51 W · 48 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Daniil Glinka42c1,646$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.932,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Daniil Glinka42c1,600$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9286536.9%24 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeee0…9340backed Daniil Glinka50c1,550$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pedro Martinez53c1,508$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.37,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Pedro Martinez56c1,500$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.31,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Pedro Martinez53c1,408$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.963,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Pedro Martinez56c1,317$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.511,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Daniil Glinka43c1,296$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.7217247.7%82 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa89…6cb6backed Pedro Martinez53c1,250$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.5757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Pedro Martinez54c1,204$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Daniil Glinka78c1,114$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.1236946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Daniil Glinka62c1,100$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.996450%32 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Pedro Martinez24c1,067$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.61,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ae…c095backed Daniil Glinka50c1,054$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Pedro Martinez54c1,019$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Pedro Martinez38c918.67$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.373,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Pedro Martinez53c838.51$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.614,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8e…3ab8backed Daniil Glinka50c773$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Pedro Martinez41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2b…9b9ebacked Pedro Martinez35c718.49$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504369.8%30 W · 13 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Daniil Glinka64c637.11$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.1829552.2%154 W · 141 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Daniil Glinka51c631$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.1981255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Daniil Glinka43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34289850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Pedro Martinez9c587.09$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.934,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Daniil Glinka43c562$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.097,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Daniil Glinka49c552.2$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.6233855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x521c…f4aabacked Pedro Martinez57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036848.4%178 W · 190 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Daniil Glinka47c500$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.726541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd32d…23b4backed Daniil Glinka62c480.21$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.519151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3a8…ad06backed Daniil Glinka44c441.34$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+48.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Pedro Martinez57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25091754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Daniil Glinka62c416.23$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.971,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Pedro Martinez53c405.09$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.575,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Daniil Glinka53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18826457.6%152 W · 112 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Daniil Glinka47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21211037.3%41 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Pedro Martinez44c395$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.851457.2%294 W · 220 L+29.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Pedro Martinez38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012641.3%52 W · 74 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Daniil Glinka63c329.65$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.022,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Pedro Martinez14c329.51$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6914921.5%32 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked Daniil Glinka61c328.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.221973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Pedro Martinez49c310.2$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15218258.8%107 W · 75 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Pedro Martinez55c299.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.492,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Daniil Glinka53c288.68$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.685457.4%31 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Pedro Martinez54c277.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508257.3%47 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pedro Martinez54c243$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.227,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Daniil Glinka52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7723353.2%124 W · 109 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Daniil Glinka41c230.14$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.782,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Pedro Martinez57c219.15$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12535164.7%227 W · 124 L+20.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Pedro Martinez57c213$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4130648.4%148 W · 158 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b7…3fd1backed Pedro Martinez15c201.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Pedro Martinez53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1069,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x235d…450bbacked Pedro Martinez29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582020%4 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick28cpaid0%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Pedro Martinez50c198$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9930642.2%129 W · 177 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e32…fc0abacked Pedro Martinez57c196.49$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Pedro Martinez51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Pedro Martinez39c192.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514150.4%71 W · 70 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ec…f7a9backed Daniil Glinka52c186$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.28875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x136b…c35abacked Pedro Martinez43c185$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Pedro Martinez58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.447058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Pedro Martinez56c179.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027949.1%137 W · 142 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a3…2e00backed Pedro Martinez9c176.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56631.8%21 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed Daniil Glinka43c175$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.754736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ace…23d1backed Pedro Martinez40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.754136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Pedro Martinez38c146.36$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6249658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6851…ec54backed Pedro Martinez42c146.36$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4710947.7%52 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c81…8f47backed Daniil Glinka52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.232356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f80…5e64backed Daniil Glinka51c135.06$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4369…cf61backed Daniil Glinka67c134.33$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+87.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Pedro Martinez55c127.27$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028255%155 W · 127 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Pedro Martinez53c118.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0285348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x966f…5cdcbacked Daniil Glinka52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.382661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d8c…9555backed Pedro Martinez25c106.87$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Daniil Glinka51c105$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4553657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50de…72eabacked Daniil Glinka45c103.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.141275%9 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+72%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb66…9085backed Daniil Glinka70c103.11$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-64.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Daniil Glinka43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5714351%73 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c03…31bbbacked Pedro Martinez54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548263.4%52 W · 30 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.