Ukraine · resolved market
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf71a531a3c73be33baa80260a48288909a4eec2c1c6827a50b3b7b01d3fde536
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $414,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 3c | 37,166$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 0c | 37,145$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…c8bebacked No | 0c | 14,435$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…4249backed No | 4c | 12,207$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 61c | 8,303$5,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cd…d80dbacked No | 21c | 8,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 4c | 6,616$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.47 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 5,886$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0034…bc36backed Yes | 78c | 5,800$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4c…c251backed Yes | 72c | 5,168$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…e9f4backed Yes | 62c | 5,081$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 20c | 5,065$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 4,953$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 18c | 4,540$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.68 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked No | 9c | 4,292$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked No | 5c | 4,117$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 32c | 3,974$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.45 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 40c | 3,917$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.11 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked No | 38c | 3,847$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.69 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -8.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 22c | 3,766$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.92 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed No | 43c | 3,743$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c9…4266backed No | 4c | 3,647$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 16c | 3,634$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.41 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3e…5c4ebacked No | 5c | 3,492$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…89cabacked No | 14c | 3,184$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.21 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8895…d381backed No | 5c | 3,146$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…0d38backed No | 1c | 3,140$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Yes | 65c | 3,096$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 3,064$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Yes | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed No | 40c | 2,965$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed No | 21c | 2,936$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…83c4backed No | 34c | 2,913$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 17c | 2,809$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.43 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…ef55backed No | 9c | 2,808$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe5…7e2abacked No | 4c | 2,772$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 2c | 2,600$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…fa57backed Yes | 66c | 2,545$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c57…a6f2backed No | 31c | 2,529$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9e…7051backed No | 39c | 2,483$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed No | 19c | 2,369$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…67a8backed No | 6c | 2,311$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…1dd7backed No | 11c | 2,153$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b75fbacked No | 38c | 1,983$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 19c | 1,889$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.17 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…021cbacked No | 43c | 1,825$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…0983backed No | 2c | 1,703$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,582$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…66e9backed No | 26c | 1,556$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…6903backed No | 20c | 1,527$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…8166backed Yes | 71c | 1,518$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6669…42b5backed No | 3c | 1,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…9b84backed No | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…b556backed No | 23c | 1,488$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a3…9bb8backed No | 38c | 1,446$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572a…5368backed Yes | 69c | 1,426$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked No | 4c | 1,420$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cf…7c8ebacked No | 22c | 1,400$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3f…6e55backed No | 3c | 1,356$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…34aabacked Yes | 68c | 1,321$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…9324backed No | 2c | 1,311$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c6…b10fbacked No | 6c | 1,277$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…b8adbacked No | 40c | 1,251$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked No | 31c | 1,250$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.5 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…05f4backed No | 3c | 1,214$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 15c | 1,200$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…b7bebacked No | 41c | 1,192$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2c…abc9backed No | 26c | 1,186$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21e…70f7backed No | 2c | 1,171$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1490…b7e6backed No | 43c | 1,154$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17b4…3f75backed No | 4c | 1,110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfb…de50backed No | 24c | 1,100$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…239bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,078$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5459…6462backed No | 4c | 1,061$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 6c | 1,038$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…bf60backed Yes | 77c | 1,027$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5a…2afdbacked No | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked No | 1c | 997.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bed…5647backed No | 3c | 969.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…3fb5backed Yes | 61c | 952.66$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…6650backed No | 29c | 903.39$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed No | 26c | 870.77$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4888backed No | 14c | 838.21$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…0d98backed No | 3c | 831.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a0…2054backed No | 2c | 800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 24c | 795.51$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.53 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd98e…9bb3backed Yes | 75c | 767.59$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 2c | 746.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…1e3dbacked No | 3c | 734.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9316…1f87backed No | 3c | 729.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 19c | 725.27$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked No | 11c | 719.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.04 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…fef2backed No | 42c | 706.18$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d26…07f4backed Yes | 62c | 683.61$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c5…5466backed No | 36c | 670$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed No | 25c | 667.14$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d72…01eabacked No | 42c | 627.02$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…c24fbacked No | 39c | 616.26$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e8…18a1backed No | 32c | 608.84$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…434fbacked No | 3c | 603.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.