Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70b235e2033bed13baf732e665b4a9c03702225b4691f81acb4de3ded7338fdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 36c | 653.25$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.28 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 47c | 631.93$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.87 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 64c | 438.06$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 61c | 379.77$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.86 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…5d78backed Yes | 46c | 343.77$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.96 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 16c | 330.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 51c | 304.03$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…16a2backed Yes | 27c | 288.83$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.1 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 25c | 285.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.43 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 284.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.01 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…0179backed No | 41c | 245.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 75c | 225.39$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 53c | 164.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…5d22backed No | 49c | 161.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked No | 27c | 151.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 36c | 145.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 32c | 127.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 62c | 110.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 66c | 108.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113b…3048backed No | 76c | 99.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…5659backed Yes | 73c | 98.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 24c | 97.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 74c | 94.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 79c | 90.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed No | 20c | 90.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…047dbacked Yes | 45c | 82.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…8dc7backed Yes | 25c | 82.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 63c | 81.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 80.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 77.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 56c | 76.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 79c | 75.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 27c | 69.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…20e0backed No | 59c | 68.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 70c | 67.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 26c | 66.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…1586backed Yes | 64c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…54c9backed No | 22c | 63.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…258dbacked No | 75c | 63.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 30c | 62.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…befcbacked Yes | 31c | 56.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…8f49backed No | 52c | 53.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked Yes | 36c | 51.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…a3eabacked No | 27c | 48.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 30c | 48.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 25c | 47.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 46.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…9f9abacked Yes | 60c | 46.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 62c | 46.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 79c | 45.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 57c | 43.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 30c | 40.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…5f7bbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 105 | 69.5%73 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea0…8e3bbacked Yes | 56c | 36.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa565…615abacked No | 55c | 34.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 77c | 32.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 35c | 30.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 75c | 28.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 60c | 27.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…bcd3backed No | 72c | 26.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 76c | 25.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…22e0backed Yes | 79c | 25.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…8d4cbacked Yes | 69c | 24.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…e027backed No | 75c | 23.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb30…8a4cbacked Yes | 75c | 22.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…043abacked No | 70c | 21.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0f90backed No | 67c | 19.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c9…910bbacked Yes | 56c | 19.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 75c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 74c | 18.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae3…f897backed No | 80c | 17.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed No | 70c | 16.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc3…222fbacked No | 72c | 16.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9f…b4e1backed Yes | 68c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21e…bcdbbacked Yes | 69c | 14.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 76c | 14.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 67°F or below on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.