Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2164d89a30dc2a518dad3c7e4e2312820deb76fa3eac5555a3c84c31a262aab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 52c | 2,079$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.73 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,761$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.91 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 53c | 1,149$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.58 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 46c | 498.56$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.27 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 46c | 426.73$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 48c | 414$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.28 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 25c | 379.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 47c | 375.08$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.79 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 48c | 332.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 325$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes | 61c | 321.73$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 40c | 319.74$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 40c | 286.08$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed No | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed No | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 203 | 47.8%97 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 56c | 231$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 58c | 200.07$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 62c | 193.78$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed No | 54c | 190.78$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 55c | 187.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.49 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 49c | 177.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 57c | 173.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 38c | 167.74$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.67 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 39c | 167.19$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 43c | 156.29$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 46c | 136.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 59c | 134.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 56c | 126.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.1 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697a…4024backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…f288backed Yes | 59c | 118.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 36c | 115.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 60c | 112.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 42c | 111.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed Yes | 49c | 106.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116a…a2f2backed Yes | 63c | 103.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 39c | 102.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 20c | 101.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 44c | 93.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f2…adcabacked No | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 48c | 88.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…5296backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 60c | 82.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…a5fbbacked Yes | 53c | 81.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…4c92backed Yes | 56c | 79.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 53c | 78.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed No | 41c | 75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 1,174 | 54.9%644 W · 530 L | +49.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 46c | 71.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…58b7backed Yes | 62c | 66.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 46c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed No | 40c | 62.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb699…4e20backed No | 41c | 61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 63c | 60.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…6fd2backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 818 | 55%450 W · 368 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c0…53d5backed Yes | 55c | 57.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…fe15backed Yes | 63c | 56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…a606backed No | 42c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…f1febacked Yes | 56c | 54.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 56c | 54.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 52.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4f…e321backed No | 48c | 52.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666d…340bbacked Yes | 56c | 49.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…4ccabacked No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 51c | 43.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 39c | 42.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 38c | 41.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 48c | 41.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…a936backed Yes | 60c | 37.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 667 | 58%387 W · 280 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked Yes | 60c | 35.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 61c | 32.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 65c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf92…150fbacked Yes | 62c | 30.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a6…b1c2backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 45c | 27.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 56c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa957…7638backed Yes | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa922…9a52backed Yes | 77c | 25.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…006dbacked No | 49c | 25.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.