TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x666d…340b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+134.7%+$27.39
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$5.27
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$31.21
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.04
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.83
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$24.61
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.66
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on July 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$36.08
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.89
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C or below on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.55
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$4.73
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.08
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$19.17
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+128.7%+$51.17
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or below on May 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$24.6
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$20.52
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.22
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+332%+$66.28
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.67
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$7.05
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$12.29
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.1
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.86
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.81
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25%+$3.68
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30.46
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$26
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+33%+$27.51
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$15.45
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.1%+$10.2
T20 Series Australia vs. India, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$24.12
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.7%+$20.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+47.6%+$100.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$431.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.