Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f18319e674f641820b44991723a14a967365c9313526ccab53d83256cce59ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 57c | 3,365$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.01 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed No | 65c | 805.5$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.43 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 47c | 664.75$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.53 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x855e…de25backed Yes | 76c | 659.82$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 48c | 632.46$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.54 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 50c | 468.52$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.4 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 10c | 427.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 37c | 357.41$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 189 | 48.1%91 W · 98 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 40c | 356.39$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.74 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 41c | 355.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 46c | 260.64$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.16 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 58c | 259.11$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 19c | 235.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.76 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 33c | 209.84$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.35 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 208.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 43c | 202.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…faacbacked No | 6c | 199.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 203 | 38.4%78 W · 125 L | +30.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +177%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 41c | 193.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.25 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…7926backed Yes | 11c | 192.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 423 | 15.4%65 W · 358 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 51c | 179.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 27c | 174.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Yes | 24c | 171.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.19 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…1e24backed No | 69c | 169.16$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 43c | 167.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 47c | 154.89$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 29c | 153.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 47c | 139.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 19c | 131.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 66c | 131.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…ce71backed Yes | 20c | 130.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8d65…da6ebacked Yes | 77c | 129.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 25c | 123.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 26c | 114.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.09 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73e0backed Yes | 14c | 114$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Yes | 74c | 106.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…6ca1backed No | 62c | 103.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 90$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 90$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 35c | 88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 87.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf910…5912backed Yes | 78c | 82.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 64c | 77.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 46c | 74.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 53c | 71.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 72c | 68.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed No | 72c | 61.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6962…0629backed Yes | 19c | 61.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 38c | 61.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 70c | 60.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x666d…340bbacked Yes | 67c | 57.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked No | 26c | 57.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 203 | 42.9%87 W · 116 L | +20.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 42c | 56.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 27c | 56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c7…e7fdbacked Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 38c | 53.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc40b…dc70backed No | 25c | 52.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 45c | 51.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 74c | 50.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1717…1f7cbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc2…9762backed No | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x130b…0e07backed No | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Yes | 30c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 71 | 18.3%13 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 25c | 47.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 79c | 46.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…5d22backed No | 64c | 46.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 74c | 45.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 56c | 43.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc1…2496backed Yes | 32c | 42.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 33c | 42.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…80f8backed No | 80c | 41.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 391 | 58.1%227 W · 164 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6345…c77dbacked Yes | 36c | 41.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…d067backed Yes | 40c | 39.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 28c | 39.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 28c | 39.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed Yes | 35c | 38.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb1…9e38backed Yes | 49c | 36.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 74c | 35.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…3604backed No | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb025…38bbbacked Yes | 73c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 78c | 33.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…c151backed Yes | 60c | 33.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 68c | 30.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…7ad4backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 69c | 29.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked No | 74c | 27.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…1ca6backed Yes | 49c | 25.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +12.8wins | +0.32per pick | 38cpaid | +122%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x27d3…faadbacked No | 72c | 25.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.