Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f02e6f38c1f3ac864e18468a381c9a575d7d51ae252e60e5499dfb9319a4c61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3204…b1dbbacked Yes | 43c | 5,881$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.5 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 36c | 1,843$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.7 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 1c | 857.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 6c | 652.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 26c | 472.02$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 17c | 385.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…9754backed Yes | 5c | 341.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 136 | 30.1%41 W · 95 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 64c | 308.81$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.32 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 24c | 288.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 249.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 726 | 24.8%180 W · 546 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked No | 67c | 240$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 78c | 201.29$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 31c | 193.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 22c | 186.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 18c | 180.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 73c | 179.19$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 70c | 174.11$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 73c | 153.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 68c | 148.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 76c | 146.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 22c | 144.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed No | 63c | 133.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 63c | 132.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 129.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…5bc2backed Yes | 43c | 129.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 66c | 120.49$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 23c | 109.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed No | 47c | 108.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78e7…5fddbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc2…9762backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…0b5fbacked Yes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 64c | 95.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 48c | 93.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.15 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 26c | 91.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 62c | 89.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 64c | 85.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…0b84backed Yes | 45c | 77.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 64c | 75.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 66c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 69c | 69.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 70c | 62.74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 65c | 61.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…ce71backed Yes | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +6.1wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 26c | 53.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 39c | 50.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…253abacked Yes | 47c | 46.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 76c | 46.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c08…724fbacked No | 78c | 45.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…8003backed Yes | 34c | 44.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 55c | 44.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 56c | 40.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 58c | 40.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…a70fbacked Yes | 38c | 39.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed No | 70c | 37.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 420 | 49%206 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…c395backed Yes | 42c | 36.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…3604backed Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…5b01backed No | 74c | 33.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 58c | 31.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…fa27backed No | 66c | 30.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 54c | 29.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 29.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…3e28backed No | 67c | 29.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 58c | 27.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 66c | 25.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 343 | 69.4%238 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Yes | 45c | 25.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed No | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 61c | 21.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…668abacked No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked No | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 72c | 20.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 60c | 20.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 57c | 20.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…0516backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 70c | 20.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 61c | 20.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…0c7ebacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…3738backed No | 71c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…b814backed No | 71c | 17.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c1…cd78backed No | 63c | 15.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.