Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 4?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7dab896e00cb144485475b5349b9d049d188c52e850441276bc745f543a257f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 23c | 3,259$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.2 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 4c | 1,400$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,030$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.45 | 71 | 18.3%13 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 12c | 663.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 8c | 475$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…1e24backed Yes | 5c | 335.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bd…57adbacked Yes | 8c | 308$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 5c | 305.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 75c | 289.64$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 264.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 247.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 221.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 35c | 220.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 32c | 216.2$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…d067backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Yes | 7c | 188.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 6c | 185.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 174.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 76c | 169.11$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 22c | 169$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…2103backed Yes | 8c | 166.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 28c | 152.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 640 | 21.7%139 W · 501 L | -23.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f6…15a2backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 7.4%6 W · 75 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 14c | 148.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 27c | 147.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 12c | 147.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8682…15a9backed No | 66c | 147.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 24c | 133.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 42c | 116.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 19c | 112.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 70c | 108.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 28c | 105.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed Yes | 27c | 103.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Yes | 15c | 97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 66c | 92.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 69c | 91.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 78c | 91.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 74c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 70c | 87.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1717…1f7cbacked No | 63c | 84.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 66c | 84.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 73c | 78.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…1689backed Yes | 14c | 74.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 474 | 32.5%154 W · 320 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 31c | 73.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Yes | 35c | 71.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 65c | 71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 75c | 60.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 71c | 59.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf362…0505backed Yes | 35c | 57.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 35c | 57.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…1ad7backed No | 71c | 56.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 64 | 79.7%51 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd33…21d1backed Yes | 28c | 54.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 37c | 54.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…98dfbacked Yes | 30c | 51.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 67c | 50.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 63c | 49.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed No | 67c | 47.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 61c | 46.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 73c | 46.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…95a7backed Yes | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 240 | 29.2%70 W · 170 L | -15.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f05…a70fbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 68c | 43.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 343 | 69.4%238 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 65c | 42.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 36c | 37.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 56c | 36.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 76c | 35.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 59c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 37c | 32.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 64c | 30.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 46c | 29.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 54c | 29.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e7…5fddbacked Yes | 38c | 29.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed No | 66c | 29.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 68c | 29.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…620cbacked No | 69c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 66c | 28.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…5b01backed No | 68c | 28.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…45acbacked No | 74c | 27.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 68c | 27.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 70c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…57f6backed No | 63c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 277 | 69%191 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed No | 65c | 21.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 70c | 21.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…492abacked No | 59c | 21.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 173 | 65.3%113 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…3e28backed No | 66c | 20.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 71c | 20.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 64c | 19.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 4?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 4?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 4?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.