Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f0e49bca2f11d5ce1091f21e65224dea701e7186b811352a6859ebb56769958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb71…3e7bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,025$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 18c | 543.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 55c | 520.3$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.9 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 5c | 487.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 32c | 365.28$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.69 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 31c | 349.25$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.05 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 336.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…e802backed No | 80c | 326.81$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 21c | 305.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab36…38dabacked Yes | 71c | 302.94$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.29 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d33…6be3backed Yes | 39c | 250$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 34c | 233.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 67c | 227.14$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.42 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 36c | 210.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 62c | 197.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 23c | 177.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked No | 76c | 158.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 61c | 152.12$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 33c | 140$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 127.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 27c | 121.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 42c | 115$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 64c | 110.62$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 57c | 110.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 30c | 103.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 38c | 90.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 47c | 81.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 686 | 45.8%314 W · 372 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 55c | 80.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked No | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 27c | 75.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 50c | 72.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…1fb0backed Yes | 69c | 69.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 28c | 67.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 25c | 64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 35c | 61.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 24c | 61.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 61.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedee…7139backed Yes | 57c | 61.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 28c | 60.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 80c | 60.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 78c | 58.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5e…b385backed No | 78c | 58.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 66c | 58.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x139e…a5debacked Yes | 26c | 57.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 249 | 51.4%128 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 29c | 55.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 20c | 55.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 66c | 53.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 79c | 53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…58f9backed No | 31c | 52.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…fa48backed No | 69c | 52.06$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed No | 38c | 51.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 25c | 51.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed No | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 79c | 49.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b95…898abacked No | 65c | 44.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 301 | 68.8%207 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 69c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…f4cabacked Yes | 78c | 42.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…dcf3backed No | 39c | 41.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 58c | 41.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a32…b4c2backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…043abacked Yes | 38c | 39.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 65c | 38.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed No | 33c | 38.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666d…340bbacked Yes | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 78c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 79c | 32.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 64c | 31.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 39c | 29.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 60c | 27.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…b91bbacked No | 76c | 25.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 69c | 24.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…b752backed No | 72c | 20.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…c5aabacked No | 61c | 20.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 80c | 18.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 72c | 18.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 74c | 17.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a2…2c18backed No | 71c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 76c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6192…48efbacked Yes | 77c | 15.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…7e7bbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 117 | 74.4%87 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 102°F or higher on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.