Fifa International · resolved market
Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a947653669c8f71ac7b8951f53e3e538dc39025f91482bc606231cf017a3f25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cb1…dea6backed Yes | 42c | 54,767$22,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,902.63 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed No | 59c | 41,606$24,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,046.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 60c | 4,837$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.73 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 56c | 4,276$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.21 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 53c | 3,567$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.23 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 3,063$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.11 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c05…1d1dbacked Yes | 42c | 2,313$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 51c | 2,253$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.51 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 48c | 2,183$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.47 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 50c | 2,010$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.09 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 42c | 1,897$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 54c | 1,841$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.11 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 54c | 1,403$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.51 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 59c | 1,207$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.22 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Yes | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 1,076$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.46 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 1,058$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.54 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 29c | 1,023$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 54c | 950.49$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.45 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Yes | 53c | 948.9$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked Yes | 37c | 937.97$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.19 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 875.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 52c | 804.23$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.73 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 59c | 782.02$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.56 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 18c | 744.61$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 61c | 695.74$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.92 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…c0afbacked Yes | 60c | 686$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.15 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 50c | 632.85$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.51 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 45c | 630.64$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.73 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 604.84$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.72 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 49c | 577.93$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.9 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 58c | 556$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.47 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 46c | 546.21$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.89 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 52c | 509.29$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.02 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa54…c182backed Yes | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed Yes | 29c | 446.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.35 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 48c | 438.47$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.48 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 58c | 422.07$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.52 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 36c | 420.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e52…f6d5backed Yes | 55c | 397.84$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.81 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -91.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 379.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 60c | 370.04$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.38 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 61c | 369.94$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 58c | 346.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 50c | 323.18$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.41 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked Yes | 55c | 321.05$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.83 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 64c | 314.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.12 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…eceabacked Yes | 41c | 306.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.33 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 59c | 303.3$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.43 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…05aabacked Yes | 37c | 294$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…dddabacked Yes | 52c | 289.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 46c | 288.33$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…a623backed Yes | 52c | 286.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 50c | 282.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…494bbacked No | 49c | 279.62$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.61 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 66c | 275.5$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.53 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9e…4cf7backed Yes | 43c | 269.35$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 41c | 245$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 200 | 36%72 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…3429backed Yes | 41c | 236.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 40c | 232.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 52c | 226.86$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5d…d1adbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…2763backed Yes | 50c | 221.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 186 | 26.3%49 W · 137 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…5f1bbacked Yes | 38c | 204.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 40c | 201.49$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…f2bebacked Yes | 50c | 200.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 45c | 184.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 65c | 184.12$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 48c | 182$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 67c | 181.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…7344backed Yes | 57c | 176.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44a…cc0bbacked No | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…ac75backed Yes | 51c | 168.05$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cac…513cbacked Yes | 56c | 163.21$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf841…b2ebbacked No | 54c | 156$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Yes | 46c | 150.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 185 | 38.9%72 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…e70bbacked Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7114…6432backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…911fbacked No | 59c | 146.57$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 51c | 145$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 67c | 135.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 60c | 134.7$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…64fbbacked Yes | 54c | 133.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb0…bd65backed No | 65c | 133.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 46c | 132.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 49c | 123.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 51c | 121$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a55…fe8bbacked Yes | 53c | 117.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 51c | 106.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…5655backed Yes | 48c | 104.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 58c | 102$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…ec2abacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?this page
- Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.