TailMyPicks

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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will KF Vllaznia Shkodër win on 2026-07-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,520

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,159 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No66c2,370$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.942,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes46c1,656$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.812,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes45c1,468$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.259451.1%48 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No54c1,208$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.8918444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes38c1,150$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7134330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No68c1,070$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.4756849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes73c965$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.622755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes62c952.22$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.413,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes32c940$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.237446.8%175 W · 199 L+27.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c857.34$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.862,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No24c759.93$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.5879532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes39c631.07$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3514245.8%65 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No49c547.36$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.122,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No70c508.98$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.441,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes76c495.96$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.332436.4%118 W · 206 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked Yes42c471.41$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.135058%29 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No54c462$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.481,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No53c461.74$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5388048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No57c461.28$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.181,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Yes50c417.46$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.653237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes14c404.37$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.6615628.2%44 W · 112 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked No60c385$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311625%4 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No50c364.31$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7974155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No62c360.45$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.487354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1867558.7%44 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18612358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No62c294$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.286159%36 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes33c280.27$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8937046.5%172 W · 198 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c278.5$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2891950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes38c258.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.531,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57ee…7b80backed Yes41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.53125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No62c240$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.87266.7%48 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No55c234.31$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.828549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No54c233.45$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.8397346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes18c232.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8836356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3735…1525backed Yes55c221$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.539949.5%49 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No58c218.1$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.746759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes47c212.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.763225%8 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-45.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes46c204.19$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.231842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Yes39c200$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12316446.3%76 W · 88 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No51c199.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9977855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.916555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.46457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes38c167.05$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2318449.5%91 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes75c160$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4063857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2145135.9%162 W · 289 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937166.2%47 W · 24 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No21c141.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3416045%72 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Yes77c129$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.676552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Yes41c120.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8928012.9%36 W · 244 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes72c115$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.27767.5%52 W · 25 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No62c114$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.686552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes43c112.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3465535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No80c110$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8838047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked No46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Yes50c100.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.311747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302920.7%6 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No54c98.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4455545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Yes41c89.19$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6223653%125 W · 111 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No23c88.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9714241.5%59 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked No54c79.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.669062.2%56 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No28c76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2715240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No68c68.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.081,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes51c64.58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.648245.1%37 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec1e…0d9cbacked Yes79c64.26$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.671560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Yes40c60.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.26726.9%18 W · 49 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1790…6fd2backed Yes43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb9…c170backed Yes17c58.94$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9211860.2%71 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab56…e635backed Yes50c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.152450%12 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbe…f8d9backed Yes40c53$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…2581backed No26c52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.651668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+26.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Yes42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes52c47.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6513839.1%54 W · 84 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yes71c46.31$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.435350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No25c41.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.434654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25151%26 W · 25 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Yes43c39.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.573372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+33.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x28ea…7367backed No59c35.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes60c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.217855.6%99 W · 79 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Yes77c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.361844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes42c29.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8811650.9%59 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158750.6%44 W · 43 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes49c22.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.246659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+32.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Yes76c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.842231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Yes76c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.811338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.