Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Malisheva win on 2026-07-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac7029760995dff946f3d19dcbc62579f3e7d5e1f225e74ee01f77eef256b15f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 1,801$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.39 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 68c | 1,104$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.28 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 40c | 1,007$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.89 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 991.6$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.94 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 924.95$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.95 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 30c | 882.5$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.64 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 68c | 838.03$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.17 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 822.59$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.21 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 61c | 779.42$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.58 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 48c | 734.49$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.16 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 32c | 702.29$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.73 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 68c | 456$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 44c | 369.94$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.93 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 67c | 342.09$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.38 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 59c | 338.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.85 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 78c | 336$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 335.94$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 37c | 330.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 23c | 253.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed No | 70c | 226.3$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Yes | 32c | 225$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 20c | 221$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 62c | 211$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 30c | 184.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 173.26$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 62c | 144.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 30c | 127.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 51c | 105$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 32c | 93.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 30c | 92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed Yes | 36c | 86.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…2193backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 61c | 73.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 19c | 73.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 66.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 31c | 64.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 54.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 71c | 53.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 69c | 49.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Yes | 31c | 47.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed Yes | 38c | 47.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 61c | 45.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Yes | 29c | 45.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 32c | 45.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 59c | 39.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Yes | 57c | 35.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…8607backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 68c | 35.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 31c | 34.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -11.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…5e23backed Yes | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…6afdbacked No | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…8578backed Yes | 33c | 31.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 71c | 28.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 61c | 27.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 26.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked No | 74c | 19.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 70c | 17.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Malisheva win on 2026-07-09?this page
- Will KF Vllaznia Shkodër vs. FC Malisheva end in a draw?No won
- Will KF Vllaznia Shkodër win on 2026-07-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.