Ukraine · resolved market
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e8794e4ff149da85bbb5e4609d79466fc68d4a84bb54aea2727caa496aa8406
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88a1…618dbacked Yes | 58c | 26,609$15,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,233.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07a7…8d33backed No | 39c | 14,733$5,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,806.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8faa…deb5backed Yes | 63c | 8,283$5,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 49c | 8,137$3,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,952.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 44c | 7,241$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 61c | 5,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda40…4a27backed No | 38c | 4,272$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…9adbbacked Yes | 63c | 4,002$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 37c | 3,604$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 41c | 3,113$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.26 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…a235backed No | 75c | 2,974$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked No | 35c | 2,784$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 41c | 2,706$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…511fbacked No | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 46c | 2,262$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.41 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…ee5cbacked Yes | 73c | 2,089$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9765…436bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,915$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 39c | 1,880$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Yes | 61c | 1,859$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 1,801$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.49 | 308 | 37.7%116 W · 192 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…3dbfbacked No | 36c | 1,789$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…80dcbacked Yes | 52c | 1,785$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 33c | 1,662$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c3…cc88backed Yes | 38c | 1,658$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091c…81fdbacked No | 43c | 1,646$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 28c | 1,557$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 42c | 1,510$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05bb…9acabacked Yes | 33c | 1,397$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +101%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…62a4backed Yes | 54c | 1,374$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,342$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +192.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x761e…b4c7backed No | 38c | 1,272$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 59c | 1,262$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.28 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 48c | 1,225$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed No | 68c | 1,221$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 47c | 1,188$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…1024backed Yes | 66c | 1,153$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 38c | 1,118$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad55…6e5cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,111$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…8702backed Yes | 40c | 1,078$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ae…17bebacked Yes | 63c | 1,012$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6d…a2a1backed Yes | 48c | 972.58$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.39 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…24d7backed Yes | 69c | 949.81$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbb…2711backed No | 39c | 863.36$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…8331backed No | 48c | 833.13$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 39c | 821.9$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 55c | 773.69$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 46c | 765.81$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ef…b8aebacked Yes | 63c | 676.35$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a86…f8e8backed Yes | 67c | 670.03$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb19c…2467backed No | 51c | 655$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.95 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 58c | 648$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 39c | 645.29$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 61c | 606$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.34 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 42c | 598.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…4094backed No | 47c | 585.97$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 37c | 584.07$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.65 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Yes | 61c | 577.57$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 37c | 572.1$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 50c | 571$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…f4f2backed No | 46c | 570$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 48c | 564.93$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed Yes | 32c | 550$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…be21backed Yes | 24c | 535.42$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +162%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…bd5cbacked No | 36c | 517.76$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 33c | 510$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 44c | 498$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 39c | 471.44$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.73 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 61c | 459.04$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.78 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…005abacked Yes | 49c | 440$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 80c | 427.93$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 65c | 427$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331f…6e59backed No | 25c | 402.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked Yes | 55c | 400.67$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…c55dbacked Yes | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefc…9408backed No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…dee2backed Yes | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 58c | 397.33$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 64c | 397.2$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.93 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…47c5backed No | 34c | 382.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b0…a817backed No | 39c | 368.08$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6046backed Yes | 56c | 367.81$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…76d1backed No | 40c | 360.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 57c | 356.64$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…2626backed Yes | 30c | 352$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +232.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…311abacked Yes | 30c | 337.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…16e6backed Yes | 58c | 333.87$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6449…e1d4backed No | 54c | 332.2$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 63c | 324.61$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +101%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91b…29a7backed No | 36c | 314.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2695…ed4dbacked Yes | 64c | 311.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb82…0318backed Yes | 60c | 310$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…702cbacked No | 39c | 310$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…7d42backed No | 36c | 283.04$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 54c | 277.84$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 43c | 275$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ea…0882backed No | 68c | 274.09$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -85%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…000fbacked Yes | 60c | 269.77$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?No won
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.