Ukraine · resolved market
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d5c8e9a38609661a11de7532c7049cb44a99b347cb1e81a3d7b8b418df386a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 54c | 7,299$3,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…c364backed Yes | 36c | 5,267$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 56c | 4,695$2,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761e…b4c7backed Yes | 37c | 4,481$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d47…8644backed Yes | 40c | 3,790$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…096fbacked Yes | 44c | 3,617$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…3dbfbacked Yes | 37c | 3,551$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 3,233$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…24d7backed Yes | 67c | 3,210$2,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,166 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 58c | 2,701$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe93d…0f4bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,681$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked No | 52c | 2,525$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 49c | 2,214$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.04 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbb…2711backed Yes | 40c | 2,189$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…c29bbacked Yes | 73c | 2,076$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 35c | 2,040$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 2,022$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…776dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,902$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 69c | 1,657$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 63c | 1,500$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…f93bbacked Yes | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 57c | 1,396$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…1134backed Yes | 55c | 1,371$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 37c | 1,360$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.63 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 49c | 1,350$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7d…0bf1backed Yes | 37c | 1,239$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 54c | 1,198$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 49c | 1,119$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,080$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.04 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,053$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…eb6cbacked Yes | 68c | 1,024$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 46c | 1,010$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…42eabacked Yes | 69c | 997.65$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19c…2467backed Yes | 18c | 953.85$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 43c | 953.49$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.34 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4f…831ebacked Yes | 73c | 899.63$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797a…7924backed Yes | 36c | 815$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 64c | 788.61$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 48c | 769.17$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…618dbacked No | 48c | 700.76$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 39c | 692.26$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.97 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…f2f0backed Yes | 43c | 677.82$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 64c | 675.81$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.55 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 624$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…9178backed No | 29c | 569$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.87 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…0f29backed Yes | 36c | 563.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 73c | 537.44$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.7 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 61c | 519.27$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.37 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…000fbacked Yes | 55c | 513.97$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032a…1cf8backed Yes | 35c | 507.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 498$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 62c | 494.51$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…1d98backed Yes | 39c | 479.09$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 34c | 471.59$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 35c | 471.01$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…005abacked Yes | 45c | 440$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…0f0ebacked Yes | 35c | 432.64$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…38c7backed Yes | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 56c | 408.96$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 49c | 407.93$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.43 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 71c | 400.29$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.99 | 131 | 28.2%37 W · 94 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +192.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c6…e5c2backed Yes | 39c | 384.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…4a93backed Yes | 52c | 380.3$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c3…9a7cbacked Yes | 43c | 371.29$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…4f51backed Yes | 32c | 365.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 63c | 345$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes | 65c | 337.85$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed No | 64c | 334.57$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…8298backed Yes | 39c | 330.94$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed No | 61c | 329.96$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 50c | 325.95$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…8702backed Yes | 47c | 317.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a1…35e7backed Yes | 33c | 299.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 59c | 289.95$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 65c | 283.39$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…76d1backed Yes | 40c | 282.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 75c | 279$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…525fbacked Yes | 36c | 273.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa944…8de1backed Yes | 37c | 273.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 47c | 267.27$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8256…8785backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Yes | 76c | 262$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d5…0789backed No | 62c | 258.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…0803backed Yes | 39c | 257.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…1b7cbacked Yes | 46c | 256$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 43c | 251.68$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed No | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 65c | 243$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…3a36backed Yes | 38c | 242.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…6daabacked Yes | 56c | 238.54$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 41c | 238.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 58c | 231.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…be21backed No | 26c | 229.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +162%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 38c | 225$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b0…a817backed Yes | 33c | 224.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…0db1backed Yes | 36c | 220$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 79c | 214.25$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?this page
- Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes won
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.