Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x822f6d08ff4ade111a84fa47684bb284cab4e098b34c642e581e1fa8be8fe391
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7a7…ecddbacked Yes | 22c | 4,843$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.26 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x632e…6a56backed Yes | 1c | 3,909$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 80c | 963.12$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.07 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 7c | 726.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 78c | 628.45$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked No | 79c | 491.57$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.08 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 65c | 482.15$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.56 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 7c | 419.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 39c | 373.47$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 33c | 362.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.94 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 326.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 10c | 249.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…03eabacked Yes | 14c | 213.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 116 | 12.1%14 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 34c | 211.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 34c | 199.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.41 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 196.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 62c | 170$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 36c | 164$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 15c | 163.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 13c | 163.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed Yes | 22c | 142.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x68b5…41bcbacked Yes | 21c | 133.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 24c | 131.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…07dfbacked Yes | 18c | 126.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 54c | 121.27$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.03 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 33c | 120.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 25c | 115$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 110.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 34c | 106.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 12c | 105.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 34c | 101.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 67c | 100.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…8d57backed Yes | 40c | 97.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 11c | 95.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…b8febacked No | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 286 | 66.8%191 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…1c86backed Yes | 17c | 92.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Yes | 12c | 92.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 56c | 90.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 76c | 86.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…28a9backed No | 63c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 61c | 80.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 39c | 80.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 35c | 77.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4a…5800backed Yes | 23c | 70.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 37c | 67.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…6fd2backed Yes | 19c | 67.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…a606backed No | 63c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1f…d278backed Yes | 39c | 59.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 34c | 57.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 59c | 56.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…bb31backed No | 62c | 55.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 162 | 72.2%117 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…f02bbacked Yes | 33c | 54.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 55c | 51.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…04c2backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 169 | 36.1%61 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 24c | 47.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 63c | 47.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…8b09backed Yes | 36c | 44.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 36c | 40.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 39c | 39.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…3e7abacked Yes | 39c | 33.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ca…59eebacked Yes | 30c | 33.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked No | 61c | 32.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked Yes | 35c | 30.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 56c | 30.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…de7dbacked Yes | 41c | 30.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 38c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x35b6…caadbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…a889backed No | 56c | 26.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…931cbacked No | 60c | 25.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…d572backed No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 374 | 65.2%244 W · 130 L | +23.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…251fbacked Yes | 55c | 24.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +16.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 58c | 23.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 80c | 23.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…dacbbacked No | 68c | 23.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 66c | 21.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…5585backed No | 66c | 19.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 17.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…847fbacked No | 67c | 16.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…a889backed No | 72c | 16.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 63c | 16.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0916…9ad0backed No | 79c | 16.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.