TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-07-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,823 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes62c20,394$12,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,619.117554.7%41 W · 34 L+8.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes61c18,653$11,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,427.6397346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c12,090$6,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,786.313,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes63c11,034$6,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,984.7814637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes57c9,164$5,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,223.6563857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c7,546$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,366.532,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes34c5,885$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed No44c5,853$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.732259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No44c5,257$2,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,947.621,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No44c4,914$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,751.726456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No39c4,541$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.3318444.6%82 W · 102 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed Yes56c3,214$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No25c3,157$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,367.6721237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8609754.6%53 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes47c2,879$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.082,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4789…994abacked Yes76c2,643$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes61c2,636$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.952,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes66c2,106$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.253844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No39c1,864$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.896245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes31c1,750$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.2411226.8%30 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yes59c1,626$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.175350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No47c1,274$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.533036.7%11 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+94.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No38c1,200$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7445154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed No39c1,200$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7323956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No38c1,104$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.477354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No38c1,050$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6514761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No45c1,046$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.112,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Yes58c980$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.541844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes55c910$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.54755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No38c900$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5588350.6%42 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No38c735$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.8988048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No38c735$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.891,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No38c734.32$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.511,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Yes63c694.41$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.982450%12 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No28c602.41$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.6318449.5%91 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb8…067cbacked No38c600$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.422661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No52c553.82$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.0885260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes60c538.27$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.5691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed No37c518.34$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.093043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes41c509.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2815628.2%44 W · 112 L-15.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Yes70c500.45$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.428042.5%34 W · 46 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes16c495$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4579532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No38c456$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.725356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No59c455.58$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.0438047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Yes59c444.43$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.161926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-59.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1c8…023abacked Yes55c438.1$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2425558.2%32 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked No69c435.53$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.154131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked No34c423.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.831361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes61c414.33$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7414552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed No34c405.49$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.463237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No32c399.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.0877855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Yes59c388.45$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.211030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No38c369.45$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.457558.7%44 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Yes71c363.15$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.8430%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1865959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18612358.5%72 W · 51 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1866959.4%41 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Yes59c294.84$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.953333.3%11 W · 22 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No38c294$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.286159%36 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No38c288$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.565761.4%35 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No40c287$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.156759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No39c273.86$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.866457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No25c272.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.581,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No42c263$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.46555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No38c240$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.87958.2%46 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No38c240$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.87266.7%48 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Yes58c236$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.452231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Yes58c235$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.385747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Yes47c213.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd76…a60cbacked Yes62c200$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.312334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No39c191.21$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.215350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+58.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes62c175$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.578344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Yes58c167$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.431338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked No34c158.82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.821752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No59c155.77$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.975621.4%12 W · 44 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdf9…3ddbbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No26c150$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1112755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937166.2%47 W · 24 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked No34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.061758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed No34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.061952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No45c145.32$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7336356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed No40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-43%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No38c120$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.45759.6%34 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No23c118.69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.394264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No26c118.02$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.871,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked No43c116$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.128047.5%38 W · 42 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No38c114$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.686552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc46…79c4backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116a…a2f2backed Yes69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9016…7c89backed Yes70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Yes57c97.86$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.83520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes71c92.52$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6913839.1%54 W · 84 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No28c92.24$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.411,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No35c91.56$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.289561.1%58 W · 37 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed No31c89.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.891546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed No34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.242060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.