Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc40ddafa9c16f711253e71014dc4c2a32b19ee5dd7db4e76f9f959ab689432dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 3,223$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.31 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 2,770$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.59 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 2,019$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.06 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 79c | 1,264$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 40c | 1,133$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.55 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,105$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.07 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 36c | 1,030$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.94 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked No | 80c | 990.94$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 788.05$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.63 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked No | 53c | 702.34$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 59c | 503.33$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.16 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 4c | 420$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 20c | 407.52$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.39 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 80c | 391.47$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.15 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 325.49$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.99 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 5c | 254$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 242.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.16 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 20c | 207.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.02 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Yes | 20c | 168.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 24c | 131.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 20c | 102.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 264 | 17.8%47 W · 217 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 24c | 98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 20c | 84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 53c | 79.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 49c | 67.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 21c | 64.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…3964backed Yes | 20c | 55.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 25c | 55.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 77c | 44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 78c | 41.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 36.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 77c | 27.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 80c | 25.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 63c | 19.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 19.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 76c | 18.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 76c | 18.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 76c | 17.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Sheriff Tiraspol win on 2026-07-09?No won
- Will NK Aluminij win on 2026-07-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.