Middle East · resolved market
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16ce89b404293cc019f030b6dec70db23dcbe9430349064b8c26c10ebeb63197
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $124,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 7c | 7,211$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.23 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 6,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 19c | 4,776$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.65 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…04f7backed Yes | 48c | 3,684$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes | 78c | 3,500$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.99 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked No | 55c | 3,061$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.88 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…22a3backed No | 17c | 2,462$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 17c | 2,392$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.63 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 19c | 2,283$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.07 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 24c | 2,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.94 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 23c | 1,950$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.62 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 12c | 1,796$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.47 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 14c | 1,450$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.69 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…9281backed No | 80c | 1,406$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.78 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5144…37c9backed No | 25c | 1,219$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.73 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 16c | 1,083$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.09 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed Yes | 76c | 1,023$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.73 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae6…e440backed No | 8c | 1,006$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked No | 32c | 1,000$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.5 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 78c | 718.52$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 15c | 663.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.12 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 21c | 620.29$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Yes | 13c | 610.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.53 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +235.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked No | 20c | 585.77$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed No | 67c | 552.93$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.93 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed No | 20c | 503.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd0…c562backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +12.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 73c | 497.21$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.49 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 27c | 478.61$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.21 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf025…48f8backed Yes | 21c | 468.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +166.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…4ad4backed Yes | 78c | 444.75$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +20.7wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 21c | 444.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.59 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed No | 31c | 441.96$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 21c | 421.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.4 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed No | 12c | 408.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x845e…d22bbacked Yes | 75c | 406.1$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd663…ca64backed No | 9c | 385.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 18c | 373.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 5c | 371.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.9 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e7…98b8backed No | 9c | 355.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 22c | 350$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 78c | 350$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 31c | 329.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.56 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed9…7405backed Yes | 56c | 329.57$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed No | 22c | 316.47$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 26c | 312.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.86 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…7997backed Yes | 75c | 311.04$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…3c55backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 63c | 278$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 274.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.16 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…841abacked Yes | 79c | 259.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb2…cb9abacked Yes | 78c | 255.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 12c | 251.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.25 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…593abacked Yes | 68c | 250$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…aafabacked No | 26c | 247.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b60…a55bbacked No | 70c | 242.09$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.46 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked No | 6c | 239.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked No | 21c | 219.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ae…1065backed No | 56c | 219.12$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7c…ba26backed No | 21c | 217.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…6208backed No | 12c | 210$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed No | 56c | 206.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked No | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…3dd1backed Yes | 30c | 195.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…5c83backed No | 5c | 194$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 63c | 179.3$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 30c | 178.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 16c | 174$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 80c | 170$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x289f…4f9abacked No | 74c | 169.61$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…6226backed Yes | 54c | 162$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 74c | 155.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked Yes | 71c | 154.33$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x619d…73f5backed No | 19c | 150.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.06 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19a…d7c0backed Yes | 31c | 149.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +154%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 56c | 148.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac38…efffbacked No | 21c | 146.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 22c | 139.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.36 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 67c | 139.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 54c | 136.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 17c | 134.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked No | 15c | 132.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…92a7backed Yes | 74c | 122.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 46c | 121.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 9c | 119.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 17c | 111.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed No | 17c | 102.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…33c0backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…10c2backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…5d75backed No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 42c | 99.77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +19.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?this page
- Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.