Middle East · resolved market
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2a19f9268a191b0760a577ba0ae16ef17cfd2ef1566457491266315cd24761b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa65c…7997backed Yes | 72c | 8,025$5,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.89 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 11c | 4,100$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.37 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 55c | 2,740$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.17 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 18c | 2,200$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.38 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 4c | 1,982$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 1,815$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a8…9281backed No | 31c | 1,565$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…5feebacked No | 41c | 1,036$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…37cabacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 16c | 981.8$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.02 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 22c | 947.28$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.23 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 34c | 896.49$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.52 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 784.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Yes | 24c | 744.49$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +235.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked No | 55c | 711$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.84 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa832…abf8backed No | 77c | 671.4$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…22a3backed No | 8c | 670.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed No | 38c | 641.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 26c | 617.12$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.39 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked No | 3c | 566.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 31c | 522.05$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.46 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…5d75backed No | 55c | 510.22$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…4546backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 14c | 429.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.42 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 21c | 412.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…ef71backed No | 46c | 388.79$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.03 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45f2…722ebacked No | 45c | 378.67$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…0f0ebacked Yes | 69c | 364.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…6226backed Yes | 31c | 321.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d77…af31backed No | 50c | 300$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.87 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 33c | 284.24$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.75 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 62c | 282.41$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 60c | 280$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.61 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 12c | 272.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked No | 12c | 262.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 12c | 251.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 42c | 247.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 23c | 240.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.27 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 65c | 232.64$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 65c | 228.85$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 226.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 46c | 224.47$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked No | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 248 | 39.5%98 W · 150 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 27c | 216.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 74c | 200$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed No | 58c | 193.52$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…780dbacked No | 52c | 193.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 31c | 179$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 67c | 178$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 27c | 172.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 60c | 163.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db7…8f9bbacked Yes | 23c | 157.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.36 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed No | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +12.6wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 35c | 143.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc83…69adbacked No | 43c | 139.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 70c | 134.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x676c…ce51backed No | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164b…8b5abacked No | 42c | 124.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…5219backed No | 29c | 122.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…e1ccbacked No | 42c | 119.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 10c | 117.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…981bbacked Yes | 60c | 112.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…2e01backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefc…9408backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…41f0backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…dc40backed No | 55c | 94.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 80c | 93$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4656…41d7backed No | 20c | 92.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8251…879dbacked No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 55c | 90.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 47c | 90.46$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed No | 23c | 90.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 32c | 90.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…078bbacked No | 18c | 85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 23cpaid | +170.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes | 61c | 84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…1862backed Yes | 24c | 82.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 72c | 80.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…b06abacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 76c | 73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c93…aafabacked No | 17c | 68.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…8323backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +8.7wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…5580backed No | 31c | 64.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcb…54b1backed Yes | 52c | 64.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 60c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +16.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +48%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…8ba8backed Yes | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 39c | 53.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…96d3backed No | 32c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 62c | 51.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0314…2f6dbacked Yes | 45c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +6.0wins | +0.43per pick | 43cpaid | +147.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…7d42backed No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 31, 2026?this page
- Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.