China Taiwan · resolved market
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x897227c17469bd18eaf9bc54e31e8d742e57ee4a3186b52306fdbad12e62ca76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 8,300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +286.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 15c | 2,633$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 21c | 1,895$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 76c | 1,392$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 79c | 1,097$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…917cbacked No | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 8c | 721.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…a1aabacked Yes | 67c | 712.35$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked No | 22c | 668.07$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.05 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 16c | 659.71$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 127 | 7.9%10 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 16c | 627.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 31c | 596$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 38c | 554$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed No | 23c | 514.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 25c | 511.71$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…8e88backed Yes | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 8c | 454$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd900…cab4backed No | 3c | 453.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 17c | 423.52$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 13c | 408.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 55c | 392.09$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.22 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 8c | 382.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 15c | 381.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 26c | 374.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed No | 38c | 347.56$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 19c | 320.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Yes | 73c | 315.42$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 24c | 307.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 18c | 286.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 17c | 286.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 28c | 283.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 9c | 272.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 24c | 245$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 24c | 235.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafa8…9379backed No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 17c | 220.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 73c | 216.57$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 5c | 214.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 33c | 208.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 16c | 199.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 28cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…8a05backed No | 12c | 199$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc7…fc5fbacked Yes | 74c | 173.01$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 75c | 168.25$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63eb…d3a6backed No | 8c | 159.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 28c | 151.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…01a5backed Yes | 80c | 149.52$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 20c | 147.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 17c | 144.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 11c | 143.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 25c | 141.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…3995backed Yes | 73c | 137.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…16d7backed No | 12c | 130.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…3ed5backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…5919backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 126.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf2…111dbacked Yes | 80c | 125.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 25c | 123.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 9c | 114.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…95cebacked No | 10c | 113.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…ecf0backed Yes | 66c | 106.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 38c | 101.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Yes | 70c | 101.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 22c | 100.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…42adbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2f…756abacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…50e2backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…dfb9backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…297bbacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…7746backed Yes | 67c | 99.65$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 38c | 95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…2640backed Yes | 76c | 92.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…de8dbacked Yes | 75c | 90.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed No | 23c | 87.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0300…bd87backed No | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 30c | 82.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…339ebacked No | 14c | 81.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc147…5499backed Yes | 63c | 79.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793b…80a8backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac28…6f58backed Yes | 62c | 68.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed Yes | 68c | 67.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 33c | 65.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c5…728bbacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…4177backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 36c | 49.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec52…59e8backed Yes | 71c | 44.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 31c | 41.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 52 | 11.5%6 W · 46 L | -11.8wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…a732backed Yes | 72c | 41.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…875ebacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d95…c1f4backed Yes | 75c | 38.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 29c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 74c | 35.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 75cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…4472backed Yes | 72c | 34.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…7bb2backed Yes | 61c | 34.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad00…83babacked Yes | 76c | 32.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da6…370dbacked Yes | 63c | 31.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a46…dbb4backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a52…d74cbacked Yes | 74c | 27.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?this page
- Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.