Fifa International · resolved market
World Cup: Scoreless Team?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbd4c20c967def5c4372eff6353c453676daa5f947cd09a5e0f794d50c3cc9ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 19c | 3,149$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.98 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 22c | 2,811$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.51 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 13c | 2,768$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.92 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256f…2fa5backed No | 18c | 1,359$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,300$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 15c | 1,277$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.97 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 1c | 1,253$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 167 | 4.2%7 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb854…a75dbacked No | 35c | 1,091$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 12c | 956.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 263 | 30%79 W · 184 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 32c | 827.92$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.35 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 76c | 797.99$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.04 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…5100backed Yes | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 77c | 686.33$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.49 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 12c | 504.45$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.56 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed No | 21c | 347.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b3eabacked Yes | 78c | 276.4$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 40c | 271.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 22c | 266.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb28…3694backed Yes | 76c | 261.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9a…f9b4backed Yes | 80c | 250.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked Yes | 70c | 244.13$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686d…1a68backed No | 10c | 219.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5035…cf0dbacked No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -8.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 20c | 180.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…333fbacked No | 21c | 172.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 12c | 167.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 18c | 153$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Yes | 63c | 151.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 75c | 148.88$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf47e…5031backed Yes | 69c | 144.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…dd8bbacked Yes | 73c | 137.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 36c | 119.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 20c | 110.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 215 | 17.2%37 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 16c | 103.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…7443backed No | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab6…66e3backed No | 24c | 102.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf542…32eebacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked No | 16c | 99.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 62c | 80.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…395abacked No | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 26c | 76.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +347.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…2406backed Yes | 66c | 76.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…5f8dbacked Yes | 71c | 70.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…f46ebacked No | 30c | 67.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1671…2f6dbacked No | 17c | 67.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…475abacked No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…b061backed Yes | 79c | 57.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 32c | 56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked Yes | 72c | 53.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 35c | 50.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 80c | 50.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1140…da5fbacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…a7b8backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c60…5c52backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa98…af7fbacked Yes | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0c…6775backed Yes | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked No | 30c | 49.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…2995backed Yes | 78c | 45.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8647…d870backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605e…3aacbacked Yes | 70c | 39.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…d388backed Yes | 71c | 38.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed Yes | 70c | 36.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…c6eebacked Yes | 70c | 30.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58fe…d772backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…a3acbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed Yes | 77c | 19.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Yes | 72c | 13.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 79c | 12.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.