TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,044 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb1ca…1705backed Yes36c6,283$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.137129.6%21 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No69c5,619$3,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.5334354.8%188 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes48c5,488$2,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,607.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No65c5,346$3,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.8110646.2%49 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c0…0ebcbacked Yes30c3,462$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd19…3f54backed No46c3,200$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d01…1645backed Yes31c3,106$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.5812029.2%35 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+49.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec8…26b7backed Yes32c2,990$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes31c2,976$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.5813444.8%60 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x065c…47debacked Yes30c1,692$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes10c1,647$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6418530.3%56 W · 129 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd23f…94a1backed No73c1,470$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.7914959.7%89 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No78c1,414$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.9728558.9%168 W · 117 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No60c1,355$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.6622355.6%124 W · 99 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6501…6579backed Yes29c996.09$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b3…4dcbbacked No48c924.55$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.412759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No70c894.85$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.3220065%130 W · 70 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes38c870.26$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.3226139.8%104 W · 157 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No73c867.78$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.1318348.6%89 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No69c846.58$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1317330.1%52 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d7…f41abacked Yes28c803.55$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes41c800$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32654934.6%190 W · 359 L-37.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3448142%34 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2213…492cbacked No73c724.06$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes2c675.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5110038%38 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No54c518.41$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.7139952.4%209 W · 190 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010844.4%48 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes33c498.09$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6688448.5%429 W · 455 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No67c472.35$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9723459.8%140 W · 94 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d31…4ac5backed Yes22c429.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…c199backed Yes34c412.24$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c4…b2adbacked No73c408.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.844100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No72c402.35$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0816755.1%92 W · 75 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed Yes33c399.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13210151.5%52 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2e…8439backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x498a…4733backed Yes26c368.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb39d…7a6dbacked Yes44c341.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f1…20cfbacked Yes29c331.07$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610243.1%44 W · 58 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No79c298.72$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9916850.6%85 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No72c296.3$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6414553.8%78 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No80c293.95$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6616051.9%83 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x643a…a2a8backed Yes24c284.27$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x282e…e8e6backed No75c264.18$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed No47c250$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1336944.9%31 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No75c240.94$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4316051.9%83 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No67c223.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.035036%18 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…0a64backed Yes52c213.19$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.766847.1%32 W · 36 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No75c210.39$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4614753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b3…93f6backed Yes29c203.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No75c200$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5118628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c97…fa05backed Yes37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b65…013ebacked No65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No66c187.57$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0524637.4%92 W · 154 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0731…5194backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No80c184.34$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.115056.7%85 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5192…6d9fbacked Yes27c182.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No63c181$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.921,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ef…57d9backed Yes27c178.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No73c175.1$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2831635.1%111 W · 205 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd001…5bacbacked Yes29c172.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x526e…3bd0backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008854.5%48 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf891…27bdbacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No54c155.72$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1314637%54 W · 92 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No72c154.83$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9526355.9%147 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No72c153.72$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5836055.3%199 W · 161 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda00…61b4backed Yes60c153$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa047…4ffabacked No75c150.35$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.95554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c9…6ce7backed Yes24c150.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…8e5fbacked Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…870fbacked Yes27c145$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes45c140$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8caf…248abacked Yes21c135.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed No66c133.4$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9527143.5%118 W · 153 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1c1…9c63backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf085…5696backed Yes23c130.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x121f…5796backed Yes26c128.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No73c127.4$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8814445.8%66 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2850…446dbacked No71c126.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes41c125$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8259…7ca9backed Yes24c121.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe947…7a45backed Yes34c114.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9317044.1%75 W · 95 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cbf…cedbbacked Yes51c113.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e4…471abacked Yes22c113$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8615022.7%34 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4629…f3b1backed No70c110$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.51070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No67c108.09$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3110734.6%37 W · 70 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2afa…9cbebacked Yes19c106.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes32c101$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3211839%46 W · 72 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf035…052abacked No65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18c…18c1backed No46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.55855.2%32 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed No67c97.3$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.11988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick60cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x772e…a81fbacked Yes26c96.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No76c91.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6615954.1%86 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No76c90.09$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2416254.3%88 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…2f1ebacked No71c90$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.14654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb01…4fc5backed Yes22c89.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed No75c87.63$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8116852.4%88 W · 80 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.