World Politics · resolved market
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c86cdde18ea51ff18f0a78632d40f174de6ef99ec0eee4f5d6bb2f10784bcc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 61c | 14,127$8,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,573.05 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 36c | 9,544$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 37c | 9,409$3,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,452.58 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 79c | 8,847$7,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.58 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 37c | 6,016$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.03 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 34c | 5,638$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.68 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…2202backed Yes | 74c | 5,501$4,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.64 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…7b4dbacked Yes | 61c | 2,889$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…45c4backed Yes | 73c | 2,753$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Yes | 49c | 2,304$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…a1dabacked Yes | 78c | 1,893$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 15c | 1,668$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.72 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296b…6d6ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,484$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 26c | 1,461$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.18 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 29c | 1,416$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.17 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 34c | 1,354$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.09 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 39c | 1,333$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.73 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 23c | 1,175$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.26 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 46c | 1,141$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.59 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177b…14f8backed No | 43c | 1,074$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 4c | 1,072$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 31c | 1,071$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.9 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,047$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.2 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f7…bbfabacked Yes | 75c | 920.07$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 17c | 910.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.49 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 23c | 867.23$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.24 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 23c | 815.61$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.97 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…fb96backed Yes | 75c | 789.09$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29d…add3backed Yes | 64c | 742.45$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 9c | 739.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 22c | 600.7$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.31 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…7a45backed Yes | 38c | 591.91$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.12 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 27c | 570.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.78 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…534ebacked Yes | 75c | 507.87$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf44…74d8backed Yes | 74c | 482.89$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…9dd6backed Yes | 60c | 333.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0f…84b9backed Yes | 71c | 321.32$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 24c | 314.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 34c | 303.06$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.38 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 19c | 303.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 34c | 300$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 20c | 293.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 26c | 288.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 21c | 281.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 33c | 278.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.69 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…74fdbacked Yes | 53c | 274.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…b743backed Yes | 76c | 270.64$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 70c | 270.24$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 10c | 265.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 35c | 264.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Yes | 61c | 258.2$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…f628backed Yes | 70c | 256.5$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ab…3287backed Yes | 76c | 249.2$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 21c | 239.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc5…4d5fbacked Yes | 41c | 226.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 19c | 225.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef4…cb73backed Yes | 75c | 216.41$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…7663backed Yes | 74c | 207.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…cedbbacked No | 53c | 202.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…d87fbacked Yes | 74c | 201.43$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 32c | 201.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 141 | 26.2%37 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 19c | 198.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…870fbacked No | 27c | 196.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 62c | 190.82$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 47c | 187$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 42c | 185$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 18c | 175.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 38c | 173.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60d4…b2a3backed No | 30c | 167.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e0…2e5bbacked Yes | 77c | 157.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…76a7backed No | 12c | 156.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 25c | 154.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…0440backed Yes | 67c | 151.65$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 58c | 150$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 60c | 140.9$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 15c | 137.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 54c | 135.83$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 17c | 135$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f5…3464backed Yes | 75c | 133.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8ccfbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc329…187ebacked Yes | 77c | 130.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 76c | 125.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…8405backed Yes | 75c | 122.54$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…67a8backed No | 36c | 121.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 26c | 119.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…e7f6backed Yes | 73c | 106.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 73c | 105.89$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…b075backed Yes | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…429cbacked Yes | 80c | 102.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 37c | 95.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 32c | 94.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 50c | 93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?this page
- Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.