World Politics · resolved market
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1271b5ccea9be296cead24eb97e0402424a3eac997e94e2f9c49154cc54da9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e34…c5babacked No | 5c | 6,644$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 12c | 6,408$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.87 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 38c | 5,818$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.28 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…e7b1backed Yes | 50c | 5,174$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked No | 7c | 4,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5d…333fbacked Yes | 80c | 4,000$3,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 3c | 3,420$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…3a66backed Yes | 49c | 2,868$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 71c | 2,644$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.93 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d1…4c60backed No | 7c | 2,500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…5f5ebacked No | 7c | 2,100$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 7c | 2,026$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.98 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 10c | 2,014$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.56 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 36c | 1,929$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.28 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…a821backed Yes | 32c | 1,850$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 27c | 1,731$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.56 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc2…e3f4backed Yes | 35c | 1,662$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed Yes | 78c | 1,433$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.08 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…adb6backed Yes | 20c | 1,419$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +236.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 46c | 1,356$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.43 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…45c6backed No | 30c | 1,352$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…7bc3backed Yes | 70c | 1,344$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 16c | 1,341$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 30c | 1,251$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 41c | 1,210$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.47 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 78c | 1,205$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.86 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 11c | 1,185$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…fd91backed No | 20c | 1,117$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.19 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 19c | 1,113$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.19 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…8620backed No | 17c | 1,048$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 44c | 1,015$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.87 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6491…74b2backed Yes | 25c | 868.44$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.56 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +101%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 22c | 827.38$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.87 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 774.28$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.14 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 68c | 620$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.99 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 53c | 606.43$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.8 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 69c | 550$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 53c | 389.42$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.5 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 41c | 385.74$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.41 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 31c | 378.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 20c | 371$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.38 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 58c | 360$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.25 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed Yes | 46c | 355.9$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.73 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 25c | 348.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed No | 17c | 324.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 8c | 291.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad48…3c41backed No | 7c | 273.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…6531backed Yes | 18c | 271.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 56c | 266$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.07 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9306…7f02backed Yes | 31c | 259.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 79c | 247.01$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.71 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b73…4e3abacked No | 9c | 231.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…4657backed Yes | 28c | 223.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 69c | 220.77$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x818c…a500backed Yes | 76c | 211$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…b03cbacked No | 77c | 207.37$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…41bfbacked No | 61c | 205.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…8217backed Yes | 74c | 203.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…4a18backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…cc69backed Yes | 58c | 198.39$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed No | 52c | 191.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…d962backed No | 80c | 183.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked No | 32c | 171.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe750…4850backed No | 8c | 170.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked Yes | 16c | 161$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1e…8213backed No | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 18c | 149.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 75c | 149.45$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.59 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 68c | 148.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6538…9392backed Yes | 24c | 142$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 28c | 131.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c1…1b83backed Yes | 68c | 130.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 51c | 126$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 66c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3749…4094backed No | 78c | 118.19$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked No | 61c | 102.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…a70fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…8d83backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d71…8ce9backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…b72ebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ab…05d5backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +199%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa942…dcf3backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…680bbacked No | 50c | 99.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 48c | 91.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b8…09d7backed Yes | 22c | 88.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +351.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed Yes | 31c | 84.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked No | 77c | 84.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked No | 77c | 84.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 72c | 83.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 29c | 82.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 42c | 78.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 47c | 77.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +8.0wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked No | 65c | 75.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 35c | 73.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc419…ca5bbacked No | 35c | 71.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…43b5backed No | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?this page
- Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No won
- Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.