World Politics · resolved market
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41caad92e4885a7b28b8487cae926ae2de0705a39e885fa328beb45dd74599da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 0c | 11,111$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,531$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 5c | 5,400$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.4 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 5,195$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.46 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d1…4c60backed Yes | 3c | 4,934$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.14 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 66c | 3,481$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.27 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 38c | 3,374$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.93 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 26c | 3,289$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.35 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…fd91backed Yes | 5c | 2,800$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 27c | 2,690$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.36 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…34b8backed Yes | 7c | 2,428$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,392$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,195$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.12 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Yes | 3c | 1,801$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 28c | 1,798$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.04 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6538…9392backed Yes | 15c | 1,750$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 1,726$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.38 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…1446backed Yes | 37c | 1,679$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 12c | 1,666$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Yes | 64c | 1,574$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 1,526$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.1 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 76c | 1,341$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.17 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 39c | 1,115$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.21 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 1,113$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.96 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52b…5c72backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…adb6backed Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +236.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…8620backed No | 63c | 820.06$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 23c | 801.03$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.54 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 21c | 776.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.57 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed Yes | 4c | 770.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…7af4backed Yes | 5c | 733.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 665.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 22c | 661$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.16 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 22c | 653.84$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.64 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 23c | 592.72$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.33 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 9c | 585.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.21 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +8.0wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 29c | 535.02$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.32 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 19c | 533.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.19 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e61…5a25backed No | 23c | 525.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…5933backed Yes | 5c | 502.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8caf…79d2backed Yes | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…c6bebacked Yes | 55c | 464.01$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.87 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…4657backed Yes | 19c | 433.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 59c | 418.48$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.89 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…b3cabacked Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…4474backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -56%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 22c | 386.6$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.55 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 59c | 385.74$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 26c | 329.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.66 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 56c | 294.66$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 77c | 287.43$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.61 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 20c | 271.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…8b84backed No | 37c | 268$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe750…4850backed Yes | 6c | 266.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f77…4b79backed Yes | 33c | 256.51$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 4c | 244.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 13cpaid | +251.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…6271backed No | 25c | 237.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 34c | 223.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…b247backed Yes | 66c | 218$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf803…f84cbacked Yes | 71c | 212.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 210.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…4a18backed Yes | 7c | 205$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 73c | 200.01$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.01 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6491…74b2backed No | 30c | 199.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.17 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +101%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes | 37c | 197$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked No | 22c | 181$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…bc5dbacked Yes | 58c | 173.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 50c | 167.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 18c | 160$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked Yes | 75c | 157.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.34 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 34c | 155.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…08b4backed Yes | 71c | 141.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 23c | 140.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d3…d015backed Yes | 79c | 126.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed Yes | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb486…9c8cbacked Yes | 79c | 124.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 21c | 123.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.07 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5d…333fbacked Yes | 43c | 116.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 22c | 112.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…a393backed Yes | 64c | 111.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 22c | 103.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 38c | 100.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 52cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36c1…1b83backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…a539backed No | 21c | 93.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…18c1backed Yes | 78c | 93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Yes | 33c | 86.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 65c | 83.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 39c | 81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 25c | 79.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.97 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0backed Yes | 40c | 79.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 67c | 74.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…c0aebacked No | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…43b5backed No | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5170…6c45backed Yes | 67c | 67.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 21c | 67.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02b…43dcbacked Yes | 77c | 66.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?this page
- Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes won
- Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.